Kentucky Derby Notes for 4/30 - Combatant made his final times work at Churchill Downs and during the day all the Derby horses finally arrived at the track. Entries were drawn for the Oaks and the Derby will be drawn on Tuesday. Check out comments and photos for the Derby and Oaks horses, probable starters for the rest of the Derby weekend stakes, and more. Previous: 4/29, 4/28, 4/27, 4/26, 4/25, 4/24, 4/23, 4/22, 4/21

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The paper argued that a horse’s success or failure was the result of factors that could be quantified probabilistically. Take variables—straight-line speed, size, winning record, the skill of the jockey—weight them, and presto! Out comes a prediction of the horse’s chances. More variables, better variables, and finer weightings improve the predictions. The authors weren’t sure it was possible to make money using the strategy and, being mostly interested in statistical models, didn’t try hard to find out. “There appears to be room for some optimism,” they concluded.
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2018 Cigar Mile Day Results - Saturday at Aqueduct, Patternrecognition held off True Timber to win the Cigar Mile (G1) by 3/4 length while favorite Mendelssohn finished 4th. Also on the card, Marley's Freedom won the Go For Wand Handicap (G3), Maximus Mischief won the Remsen (G2), and Positive Spirit won the Demoiselle (G2). Get the results, charts, and photos here.
Rocky is finding average odds of +108. That is insane value. It takes a lot of balls to make bets with positive value because they are unlikely to be attractive bets. Because the value in his picks are positive he has taken the advantage completely away from the bookie. Instead of paying -110 on the bets he is losing he is only paying an average of -92. In order for Rocky to find those odds, he has to find a sportsbook that is slow in updating it’s lines. His profit is based on each game bet being $100 bet. To get Rocky’s Picks, Click Here.
Many people feel that there is only one winner in betting and that is the bookie. This is the common perception and amongst those who choose to continue to bet at the bookies without structure or discipline it is probably the case, however since the advent of sports spread betting and the betting exchanges in particular the betting landscape has changed dramatically, the balance of power has shifted, and with it so have the opportunities for profitability and success. The bookies key advantages of the overround and the ability to lay have both been removed by the betting exchanges and the availability and accessibility of information and data has significantly increased to give you an extra edge.

Our category Betting Tips Today features all current tips of the day. Our betting experts research tips for the football Bundesliga, Primera Division, Premier League, as well as UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europe League and many more football leagues on a daily basis. Next to the betting tip for each fixture you will find the bookmaker with the best odds. This helps you to make the most of your bets from today tips. The best betting odds including the bookie are automatically adjusted in real-time. You are well prepared with our unique tipping system and you’ll never miss a tip again. In the betting tips today section you can also find the most recent statistics of the duelling teams, as well as current results. When we have free bets for you, you will also find them on this site.

Bookies don’t offer even money like friends in a casual betting situation. In the above example, with two evenly matched boxers, a smart bookie will offer 5/6 odds for each. That way, a $10 winning bet would only return $8.30 plus your stake. What does this do for the bookmaker? He can float an equal amount of money on both fighters, winning no matter which fighter actually wins. If they take $1,000 worth of bets on one boxer and $1,000 on the other, the bookie would take in $1,000 but only have to pay out $830, for a guaranteed $170 profit regardless of the outcome.
Kentucky Derby Undercard Stakes Results - There were 6 other stakes on the card today with the Derby, including the Old Forester Turf Classic (G1) won by Yoshida, the Humana Distaff (G1) won by American Gal, the Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (G2) won by Proctor's Ledge, the Churchill Downs Stakes (G2) won by Limousine Liberal, the American Turf (G2) won by Maraud, and the Pat Day Mile (G3) won by Funny Duck. Get the results, charts, and photos here.
The best online casinos have their player’s safety at the top of their list and incorporate numerous safety protocols. Safety layers ensure financial and personal information is secure. Players safety is achieved by using encryption technology and by using secure servers to store the information. Outlined in this section are the details as to what kinds of encryption technology the casinos have incorporated.
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A handicapper takes information from numerous sources, assigns weights and values to it. They will make their own power ranking and predict what the point spread should be without looking at the official line first, and then compare their predictions to the line to look at discrepancies. A large amount of data available via the internet and other sources means that the handicapper has more information but it means there is more to sift through to find the gems. The use of computer programs can help when searching through the data.
Many tipster sites only offer predictions on the most traditional markets, like Match Winner. But our tipsters post predictions on a much more diverse range of bets on all the sports currently available. As we’ve seen, there can be a great deal more value offered on less common betting markets. Our tipsters aim to provide you with value tips that can increase your profit margins.

In the most prestigious races, horses are generally allocated the same weight to carry for fairness, with allowances given to younger horses and female horses running against males. These races are called conditions races and offer the biggest purses. There is another category of races called handicap races where each horse is assigned a different weight to carry based on its ability.[13] Beside the weight they carry, horses' performance can also be influenced by position relative to the inside barrier (post position), gender, jockey, and training.
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