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All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

One major type of Thoroughbred horse race is the handicap race, in which the weights horses must carry during a race are adjusted in relation to their age (the more immature the horse, the less weight it carries). In this system, a two-year-old, the youngest racer, competes with less weight to carry than a horse that is three years or older. In general, a horse is reckoned as being fully aged at five years and is handicapped accordingly. There are also sex allowances for fillies, so that they carry slightly lower weights than males. Weight penalties or allowances are also provided on the basis of individual horses’ past performance. Such handicaps may be set centrally where racing is so controlled or by individual tracks, the goal being to render all horses as nearly equal as possible by establishing what is called racing form. The handicap race thus represents an outright repudiation of the classic concept that the best horse should win. Instead, handicaps are assigned with the specific objective of giving all the horses in a race an equal chance of winning.
The 2017 Sovereign Awards - Pink Lloyd took home top honours as 2017 Horse of the Year, Champion Older Male, and Champion Male Sprinter in Canada at the 43rd annual Sovereign Awards on April 19. Mark Casse won his 7th straight Outstanding Trainer award and Eurico Rosa da Silva won his 5th Outstanding Jockey award. Get all the winners and photos here.
Looking for a tip for this weekend's Premier League action? You'll find it here. Want a tip for the NBA? bettingexpert has it. Is tennis your sport? Basketball? Ice Hockey? You'll find those and more on the bettingexpert betting tips board. We also offer a variety of tips for bet types including Asian handicap tips, 1x2 tips, and over/under tips. The pure range and diversity of winning tips posted at bettingexpert is truly amazing. So if you're looking for the best free tips available for free, bettingexpert's Betting Tips page is the place to visit.
The earliest races were match races between two or at most three horses, the owners providing the purse, a simple wager. An owner who withdrew commonly forfeited half the purse, later the whole purse, and bets also came under the same “play or pay” rule. Agreements were recorded by disinterested third parties, who came to be called keepers of the match book. One such keeper at Newmarket in England, John Cheny, began publishing An Historical List of All Horse-Matches Run (1729), a consolidation of match books at various racing centres, and this work was continued annually with varying titles, until in 1773 James Weatherby established it as the Racing Calendar, which was continued thereafter by his family.
FILE This Nov. 20, 2018 file photo shows a scrolling video board with basketball scores reflected in the ceiling of the new sports book at Resorts Casino in Atlantic City, N.J. The race to legalize sports betting is on now that the U.S. Supreme Court has allowed it in all 50 states, but will it provide enough extra tax revenue to make much of a difference for schools, roads or pension debt? (AP Photo/Wayne Parry)
War of Will wins the LeComte Stakes (G3) - Saturday at the Fair Grounds was Road to the Derby Kickoff Day with the LeComte Stakes (G3) won by War of Will, the Silverbulletday Stakes won by Needs Supervision, the Colonel E.R. Bradley Handicap won by First Premio, the Marie G. Krantz Memorial Stakes won by Dubara, and the Louisiana Stakes won by Harlan Punch. Get the results, charts, and photos here.
In 1980 he’d just applied for a job as a night cleaner at McDonald’s when his buddies introduced him to the man who would change his life. Alan Woods was the leader of an Australian card-counting team that had recently arrived in Las Vegas. Woods was then in his mid-30s, with a swoop of gray hair and cold blue eyes. Once an insurance actuary with a wife and two kids, he’d decided one day that family life wasn’t for him and began traveling the world as an itinerant gambler.
A handicapper takes information from numerous sources, assigns weights and values to it. They will make their own power ranking and predict what the point spread should be without looking at the official line first, and then compare their predictions to the line to look at discrepancies. A large amount of data available via the internet and other sources means that the handicapper has more information but it means there is more to sift through to find the gems. The use of computer programs can help when searching through the data.
During the casino ratings comparison, our experts take a good hard look at the deposit bonuses available at the site, and the requirements of those online casino bonuses. They then make a real money deposit that utilizes the bonus. Review scores depend heavily on how smooth the deposit process goes, so it's evaluated closely across several major payment methods like MasterCard, Neteller and PayPal. Once a member of the casino, our experts contact customer support and test each communication method available, checking the response times and gauging how helpful casinos are during this process. If support is quick to respond and helpful, they'll receive a good review.

Games are ultimately the primary consideration when assessing an online casino. I’m not just talking about the number available, the variety and quality are just as important. So what exactly does this entail? Well for starters, there should be a good variety of games to choose from. Popular games such as roulette and blackjack should include several different variants, and not just traditional types either. So rather than roulette choice being limited to classic variants of French, European and American, a good game selection will also include interesting and exciting options such as Pinball, Multi-wheel and 3D Roulette. Likewise for blackjack, along with classic and multi-hand choices, many UK online casinos also offer various alternatives like Blackjack Surrender, Switch and Double Attack, to name just a few. Slots undoubtedly make up the bulk of any online casino’s game collection, with most operators providing hundreds of games to choose from. You’ll find a huge variety of types and themes when it comes to slots, from classic style fruit machines to video slots based on popular films and TV programs.
Horse racing in Australia was founded during the early years of settlement and the industry has grown to be among the top three leading Thoroughbred racing nations of the world.[43] The world-famous Melbourne Cup, the race that stops a nation, has recently attracted many international entries. In country racing, records indicate that Goulburn commenced racing in 1834.[44] Australia's first country racing club was established at Wallabadah in 1852 and the Wallabadah Cup is still held on New Year's Day (the current racecourse was built in 1898).[45]
Further bonus points can be earned for promotions. Some operators offer a massive range of interesting and rewarding promos, that set them apart from the competition, with others providing very little after the initial draw of a welcome bonus. I also awarded bonus points where special games were offered by the casino, such as exclusive titles, not found anywhere else, or massive jackpot games. Operators that provide a loyalty scheme and a VIP program also earned an extra point. Finally, my wild card offers an extra point where a site has something extra and unique to boast. You’ll find the bonus points earned by each casino in their respective reviews.
Between races, Benter struggled to make his algorithms stay ahead of a statistical phenomenon called gambler’s ruin. It holds that if a player with limited funds keeps betting against an opponent with unlimited funds (that is, a casino, or the betting population of Hong Kong), he will eventually go broke, even if the game is fair. All lucky streaks come to an end, and losing runs are fatal.
Benter faced an additional and more peculiar anxiety. A month before the handover, his team won a huge Triple Trio jackpot. They were in the middle of an epic winning season, up more than $50 million. The Jockey Club normally put Triple Trio winners in front of the TV cameras to show how, for example, a night watchman had changed his life with a single bet. This time, nobody wanted to tout that the winner was an American algorithm.
We want our readers to have the most up-to-date information on US online casinos. Because of the thoroughness of our evaluation process, some of our best online casino reviews are going to be in-depth and comprehensive. We hope they’re brief enough to hold your attention, but we want to serve the greater interest in providing useful reviews you can trust. Ultimately, if players don’t have a good gaming experience, they might stop playing and the entire online gambling industry suffers.
Ever joined a new casino and had a feeling of deja vu? It could well be down to the software provider the casino uses to power its site. The operators do not program the software used on their sites themselves. Instead, it is supplied by a software development company. These software providers supply their services to numerous operators. Therefore, there are many similarities between some casinos, and comparing casinos with the same software provider will often look and feel very similar. When you play at a Playtech casino, like Betfair, William Hill or Ladbrokes for example, you’ll find many of the same games and a similar layout and feel across all sites. This is true of both the downloadable software and the web-based version, where you play the games directly in the browser.
Most casinos obtain licenses from third parties to create their library of games. There is a growing number of software providers. Among the most popular are Microgaming, Playtech, Real Time Gaming, NetEnt,CryptoLogic and Rival. These solutions vary with how much of the casino’s operations they control. Some simply provide the casinos with the games and leave them to create their own back end processing. Others give casinos an entire suite of products, often called a “turnkey” provider.
Whoever likes to bet on football, when the match is already underway, is placing so-called live bets. This alternative is particularly popular with experienced bettors. You don't only need a good foundation of expertise, but also a certain feeling for the right moment. We recommend to look for a match, before it kicks off, that is a valuebet. We are not able to present such bets in our tips today yet, but we try to provide live betting tips as well. A value bet is a bet, that is rated too high considering the probability of occurence. The difficulty is to rate the probability oneself. With such odds we recommend to consult all available statistics that you can find for the respective match. You get a valuebet, when the formula gives a number higher than 1.
Benter was a more reserved presence. He could often be seen sitting at the end of a bar, engaged in quiet conversation. Over time an aura built up. To the small group of insiders who knew that software had conquered Happy Valley—perhaps a dozen people—Benter was the acknowledged master. Even Woods (in an interview he later gave to an Australian journalist) admitted that his rival’s model was the best. But the two men couldn’t resolve their differences. When Benter saw his old partner in Wan Chai, he would smile politely and walk away. They’d gone 10 years without speaking.
Hong Kong racing uses a parimutuel (also known as “totalizer”) system. Unlike odds in a Vegas sportsbook, which are set in advance and give a decisive edge to the house, parimutuel odds are updated fluidly, in proportion to how bettors wager. Winners split the pool, and the house skims a commission of about 17 percent. (After costs, the Jockey Club’s take goes to charity and the state, providing as much as a tenth of Hong Kong’s tax revenue.) To make money, Benter would have to do more than pick winners: He needed to make bets with a profit margin greater than the club’s 17 percent cut.
Horse racing in Great Britain is predominantly thoroughbred flat and jumps racing. It was in Great Britain in the 17th to 19th centuries that many of the sport's rules and regulations were established. Named after Edward Smith-Stanley, 12th Earl of Derby, The Derby was first run in 1780. The race serves as the middle leg of the British Triple Crown, preceded by the 2000 Guineas and followed by the St Leger. The name "Derby" has since become synonymous with great races all over the world, and as such has been borrowed many times in races abroad.[39]

Hungary has a long-standing horse racing tradition. The first horse racing in Pest was noted June 6, 1827.[citation needed] Although racing in Hungary is neither as popular nor as prestigious as it is in Western Europe, the country is notable for producing some fine international racehorses. Foremost of these is Kincsem, foaled in 1874 and the most successful Thoroughbred race horse ever, having won 54 races in 54 starts. The country also produced Overdose, a horse who won his first 12 races, including group races in Germany and Italy, and finished fourth in the King's Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot.
I was on Youtube today and someone was comparing the first race of Hidden Scroll to the first race of Justify (both earned 104 BSRs for their first race)......it's still too early to tell but maybe Justify will eventually replace Secretariat as the new Gold Standard for young horses.....how long before a bronze statue of Justify replaces the bronze statue of Secretariat at Belmont Park Race Track?.....the times are a changing that's for sure...
Here is what a professional baseball bettor might do in his head. After looking over statistics from MLB (kept religiously by all sorts of bloggers, data archives, and magazines) between the years 2000-2010, he notices a particular statistic pop out. For example: when the home team starts a left-handed pitcher the day after a loss, that team wins 59% of the time. Good sports bettors can do this sort of math in their head or very quickly on paper. From that bit of information comes a new betting theory—look for game situations that mirror the above example and bet on them. That means he’ll only bet games where the home team starts a left-handed pitcher the day after a loss. Does he just jump in and start betting based on this back of the napkin math? No way. More statistical analysis is required—he may find that this was a fluke for that particular decade and isn’t a trustworthy statistics, or he may find an even more advantageous bet based on his original theory.
Some handicap races are major sporting events. For instance, the Melbourne Cup, a handicap inaugurated in 1861, is the most important race of the Southern Hemisphere. In the United States the Metropolitan, Brooklyn, and Suburban handicaps—all dating to the 19th century—were once the most valuable American events and remain reasonably comparable to the classics. The Santa Anita Handicap, first run in 1935, pioneered among such races with $100,000 or more purse value.

Joining an online casino should be rewarding from the minute you sign up, which is why we check for the best welcome bonuses before reviewing gambling sites for our visitors. The top real money casinos will offer top-level security for all its players. When reviewing casinos we check for the best software and no-download casinos. We also make sure they take the best security measures to ensure the safety of player information.
The paper argued that a horse’s success or failure was the result of factors that could be quantified probabilistically. Take variables—straight-line speed, size, winning record, the skill of the jockey—weight them, and presto! Out comes a prediction of the horse’s chances. More variables, better variables, and finer weightings improve the predictions. The authors weren’t sure it was possible to make money using the strategy and, being mostly interested in statistical models, didn’t try hard to find out. “There appears to be room for some optimism,” they concluded.
   Whether you bet sports as a hobby on the weekend's or your sports betting as an investment opportunity, your main goal should always be to win your best bets against the spread and for most of the sport's betting public that is a huge problem, many people don't have time to spend analyzing data, breaking down the top nba picks,the days best ncaab picks, mlb moneyline picks, nhl puckline picks or have top sharp money betting source's that provide valuable sports betting tips like the day's best nba bet against the spread,  and that's one reason every small town has a local bookie and most major cities' have sports books or are on the verge of having one because sports betting is a trillion dollar industry and more than 75% will never make any money betting game's against the spread on there own, don't get me wrong they may get lucky once in a while but over a long period of time they will lose lot's of money and very possibly even go into debt, That's why you should give yourself every opportunity to succeed!
As you can see from this table, the differences in the payout rates at each of the casinos I tested do not differ greatly. All provide high return to player percentages, with only slight variations in the highest and lowest payout rates, which you can see highlighted in red and green. When you consider classic games, like roulette and blackjack, the same values are often found across many sites, due to the fixed rules of the games. Likewise, you will find little variance in the RTP of video poker games. When it comes to slots, you will find that the theoretical payout rates can vary from 90% up to 99%. It’s, therefore, useful to check the game rules for slots to find out how much you can expect to lose. Any slots offering payout rates of below 90% just do not offer good value for money when you consider how high the RTPs can reach.

Since ever, offering sports betting tips and tricks for free on many sports is the main mission of Sportytrader. With the ambition to help you with your free sports betting predictions, be it on football, tennis, rugby or basketball, our professional experts and tipsters analyse every day dozens of competitions, bets, players and teams for you to optimize your chances of winning bets. Our course of action is clear, win together.
Betting odds represent the bettors’ perception of value, not actual value. Our betting systems are able to pinpoint and exploit pricing opportunities created by the irrationality of sports bettors, and the need for sportsbooks to balance their risk exposure. By examining 20+ years of betting line data with our proprietary betting trends, we’ve developed profitable betting strategies based on cutting edge “market efficiency” economic theory.
If you're looking for information on how to select a sports betting operator, you are in the right place. Extratips.com has created a Where-to-bet page to help get you informed and recommends the best online betting websites so that you won't risk your money on sportsbooks that give small odds and risky withdrawal methods. Choosing a good sports betting site is a critical decision and we can help you make the best one when betting your money on our tips or football predictions. Since you'll be wagering real amounts of money, our goal is to locate a site that is trusted and offers everything you're looking for.
2018 Malibu Stakes day at Santa Anita - On opening day for the Santa Anita winter meet, there were 5 stakes headlined by the Malibu Stakes (G1) won by favorite McKinzie. Also on the card were the La Brea Stakes (G1) won by Spiced Perfection, the Mathis Brothers Mile (G2) won by River Boyne, the San Antonio Stakes (G2) won by Gift Box, and the Lady of Shamrock Stakes won by Amandine. Get the results, charts, and photos here.
Developing a strategy is crucial. But researching the value in your strategy is very time-consuming. You should only be betting on games where you see true value in your strategy and not betting in bulk. For example, let’s say that you saw a trend that shows betting on reverse line moves for home teams. This trend has been winning 65% of the time over the past month so you decide you will only bet games that fit this profile. Finding games like this at the right line is no easy task. Even using a system like Sports Insights that alerts reverse line moves, you have to pay attention and find the best line that reflects the reverse line move. You also have to be sure that it is in favor of the home team. If the line has already moved then it likely doesn’t make sense to take the home team in this situation.
Just like anything you do in life, the results of you betting into sports will be determined on what you put into it. It is not out of the question to bet on sports as a full-time job. There are plenty of people that live in Las Vegas that do just that. You need to have money to make money, though. If you are going to do it full time, $100 a game bets likely won’t do it unless you’re betting at 80% which is very unlikely and if you are, please contact me as I’d like to buy picks from you! Make sure you don’t get cocky when you hit a win streak because a cold streak is not far behind. Keep a bankroll and stick to it. Hopefully, you have a better idea of how to win money betting on sports.
Yes, there are a number of tipster services on the internet that claim to be profitable, and yes, many of these services ask unreasonable subscription fees. The reality is however, most of these services are fraudulent. Following these so called tipsters will not only leave you out of pocket after paying for their tips, but will leave you betting balance in tatters.
France has a major horse racing industry. It is home to the famous Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe held at Longchamp Racecourse, the richest race in Europe and the second richest turf race in the world after the Japan Cup, with a prize of 4 million Euros (approximately US$5.2 million). Other major races include the Grand Prix de Paris, the Prix du Jockey Club (the French Derby) and the Prix de Diane. Besides Longchamp, France's other premier flat racecourses include Chantilly and Deauville. There is also a smaller but nevertheless important jumps racing sector, with Auteil Racecourse being the most well known. The sport's governing body is France Galop.
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