Professional sports bettors have to worry about variance more than any other type of gambler. Working against the forces of variance means managing your bankroll over the course of the season to avoid the negative possibilities that could totally empty your wagering account. Professional sports bettors have the time and resources necessary to calculate these variances, and there are even a few pieces of software out there that can help you figure out your ideal bet in the face of negative variance. But the bottom line is that professional sports bettors would dream of having a 55% winning record, simply because it guarantees you’re beating the house.
One of the reasons I eschewed betting on horse racing was that, based on the Racing Post’s league table of newspaper tipsters, only two showed a profit. Listeners to Radio 4’s Today programme, meanwhile, might also be familiar with the Racing Tips, breezily announced each morning. But as was conceded last December, had you put £1 on every bet the presenters passed on in 2014, you would have ended up £62 out of pocket.

Historically, Italy has been one of the leading European horse racing nations, albeit some respects behind Great Britain, Ireland and France in size and prestige. The late Italian horse breeder Federico Tesio was particularly notable. In recent years, however, the sport in the country has suffered a major funding crisis, culminating in its expulsion from the European Pattern.[42]


With a standard issue human brain ? the one that most of us have ? you are almost destined to struggle in achieving success in sports betting. The human brain has developed based on a primary functionality of survival, and not on making money betting on sports. Most of the behaviours required to achieve success in sports betting actually require you to go against your automatic human instincts and urges. To be successful at sports betting you need to think differently, to adopt new beliefs and often to be counter intuitive.
Benter and his teammates got a house in the Vegas suburbs, living like geeky college fraternity brothers. Woods strictly forbade drinking on the job, so the men would wait until after their shifts to knock back beers and trade stories of scrapes with casino security, who were constantly on the lookout for card counting. Bull-necked pit bosses patrolled the floors. A suspicious player would be told to leave or, worse, backroomed: interrogated in a dingy office. There were rumors of counters being beaten and drugged. Benter thought the treatment was unjustified. He wasn’t a cheat. He just played smart.
So maybe you’re wondering how I arrived at my results? Well, the majority of sites list the theoretical return-to-player percentage in the rules of each individual game. I analysed these figures and compiled the range of the RTP for each individual game within each given category. This was not a simple case of picking out the lowest figure and the highest figure, as this could be rather misleading. Take for example slots. When analysing the returns for over 200 games, I could see RTP ranging from 80% – 99%. Yet if there are just one or two games below 90%, and more than three quarters with an RTP above 95%, then it gives a clearer, more accurate overview by discounting these one or two games from the results and adjusting the RTP range accordingly.

You need to find your own sports betting approach. The most lucrative options are often the least discussed such as exchange trading mentioned earlier in this article. That’s not to say that you shouldn’t explore the other three sports betting methods scattered throughout. Bonus bagging and finding incorrect prices is certainly the quickest ways to generate a return. If you were to combine the two (methods one and three) you can allow yourself plenty of time to learn more whilst winning.


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In September, after a long campaign to reach him through friends and colleagues, I received an email from Benter. “I have been avoiding you, as you might have surmised,” he wrote. “The reason is mainly that I am uncomfortable in the spotlight by nature.” He added, “None of us want to encourage more people to get into the game!” But in October he agreed to a series of interviews in his office in downtown Pittsburgh. The tasteful space—the top two floors of a Carnegie Steel-era building—is furnished with 4-foot-tall Chinese vases and a marble fireplace, with sweeping views of the Monongahela River and freight trains rumbling past.
This is one of the places gamblers can get crazy. To boost the payoff on a bet, gamblers can string together a series of bets on multiple games, or multiple bets within the same game. This is called a parlay. It is a way to potentially win a lot of money for a small bet. But these bets are frequently losers. They are among the highest earning bets for sports books, because, as is the case with teasers, every one of the bets in a parlay has to win, or else the whole ticket is a loser.

Whoever likes to bet on football, when the match is already underway, is placing so-called live bets. This alternative is particularly popular with experienced bettors. You don't only need a good foundation of expertise, but also a certain feeling for the right moment. We recommend to look for a match, before it kicks off, that is a valuebet. We are not able to present such bets in our tips today yet, but we try to provide live betting tips as well. A value bet is a bet, that is rated too high considering the probability of occurence. The difficulty is to rate the probability oneself. With such odds we recommend to consult all available statistics that you can find for the respective match. You get a valuebet, when the formula gives a number higher than 1.

This part is going to take time to develop an eye for value. Going line shopping can be one of the most stressful parts of betting on sports. Searching through all the sportsbooks to find the right line is crucial to your overall success. An example is if you saw a game you liked on betonline.ag with odds -110, you are doing yourself an injustice by not looking to see if better odds are on a different sportsbook. 5Dimes offers reduced juice so if you can get that game at -105, why would you not take it? Yes, at $100 bet it’s only a 5 dollar difference but over a long period of time, this reduced juice adds up. If you are betting more than $100 a game there is some serious value in reduced juice. That’s why 5Dimes is my favorite sports book (Read my review on 5Dimes Here). The Juice (or Vig) are how the bookie makes money. If you are going to take away some of the juice, you are essentially taking away some of the bookie’s advantage. At 10% juice, your winning percentage needs to be 52.4% in order to break even. If you are reducing that 10% you are putting more profit into your pocket. The best in the business try and find positive value as much as possible. The best handicapper in the business in finding positive value is Rocky Sheridan. Rocky actually only has a winning percentage under 51% overall. You’re probably thinking “how the heck can he be one of the best handicappers in the world with a winning percentage under 52.4%. That’s because Rocky’s speciality is finding positive value in picks. Check out his stats:
In the United States, Thoroughbred flat races are run on surfaces of either dirt, synthetic or turf. Other tracks offer Quarter Horse racing and Standardbred racing, on combinations of these three types of racing surfaces. Racing of other breeds, such as Arabian horse racing, is found on a limited basis. American Thoroughbred races are run at a wide variety of distances, most commonly from 5 to 12 furlongs (0.63 to 1.50 mi; 1.0 to 2.4 km); with this in mind, breeders of Thoroughbred race horses attempt to breed horses that excel at a particular distance (see dosage index).
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The earliest American racecourses were typically straight quarter-mile sprints. For these short distances, American jockeys developed a style of riding involving a short stirrup and a crouching posture—this “American seat” eventually became standard worldwide for all distances. As longer, elliptical racetracks were built in New York and throughout the South, a greater onus was placed on jockeys to pace their horses. Because Thoroughbred horses are capable of running only about a quarter of a mile at top speed, determining what pace to set and when to unleash this burst of speed is crucial to winning. The American jockey Isaac Murphy was famous in the 1880s and ’90s for his “grandstand finishes.”
We hope you enjoy our free football predictions. Please remember what times they are posted during the week and weekend so you don’t miss out on any value. Our aim is to provide free predictions every day of the week and to cover your favourite bet types. Whether you love accumulators, both teams to score or correct score betting we have tips for you. Enjoy the games and good luck!
Most people who want to place bets on sports are fans to begin with. It isn’t unheard of for a gambler to place some sports bets, especially during big games like the Super Bowl or the NCAA basketball Final Four, but for the most part, sports bettors are sports fans looking to use their knowledge of a game or of a game’s players to earn a little extra cash. Being a fan of a particular sport, a team, a college or professional squad—these are all precursors to placing sports bet. Sports betting is also a way for a fan to get in on the action of the game, with something more than self-respect at stake.
Travers Undercard Stakes - There were 6 other stakes on the 2018 Travers undercard, including the Sword Dancer (G1) won by Glorious Empire, the Personal Ensign (G1) won by Abel Tasman, the Ballerina (G1) won by Marley's Freedom, the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial (G1) won by Promises Fulfilled, the Forego (G1) won by Whitmore, and the Ballston Spa (G2) won by Quidura.
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The alternative draw is so popular, because usually the odds are very attractive. A classic strategy is to consequently bet on a draw until it happens. Of course you always need to keep an eye on the odds. The idea behind this alternative is to double the stakes until the draw becomes reality. Given you start with stakes of 5 £ on a draw of 1. FSV Mainz 05. You best choose the team with the most draws in the ranking. This is just a strategy and no recommendation, since you can also get rid of your stakes very fast.
Mick Gibbs is a roofer by profession, constructing and repairing roofs across Staffordshire in England. That’s not his only skill however. Gibbs also has an eye for winning accumulator bets. His first big win came in 1999 when he bet £2.50 and correctly predicted nine football games across Europe. That earned him £157,000. That’s small change compared to his next big win however. In 2001, Gibbs bet 30 pence to predict the winners of 15 football games across Europe and was given odds of 1,666,666. The first 14 games went exactly as Gibbs predicted so everything now depended on a Champions League match in which Bayern Munich would need to beat Valencia. The game ended in penalties. The last kick of the game was from Valencia defender Mauricio Pellegrino, but the moment the ball landed in the hands of Bayern Munich’s goalkeeper, Gibbs was £500,000 richer. Not bad for a 30 pence stake.
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Our ELO Football Ratings are a big part of how we select teams, and they are unique to Punters Lounge to the envy of many websites who have failed to replicate them. They are unique in that they identify teams that have perhaps not got the results they deserve, yet are still playing well and well worth following and usually at bigger odds than they should be!
Virtual Stable® is a free service that lets you track leading contenders in a race series or create a personalized "Horses to Watch" list that notifies you via e-mail when one of those horses is entered to race, works out, or completes a race. You can also choose for information to be delivered by Carryovers, Jockey, Trainer, or Stakes Races. Virtual Stable® eliminates all the work normally associated with tracking your horses so that you never again miss a wagering opportunity - you are only a click away from all the information you need.
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