The cost of my College football service is $895, the cost of the NFL service is $995 ($1,595 for both services), my Basketball service is $895 ($2,195 for all Football and Dr. Bob’s Basketball service), and the NBA Guru subscription is well worth the $1495 given how profitable he’s been ($3,295 for all Football and all Basketball, including the NBA Guru). You must factor in that cost when calculating your expected return on investment (ROI). As explained above, winning 55% on the Football Best Bets and 53.5% on my Basketball Best Bets would yield an expected profit of +45.5 Stars and let’s assume the NBA Guru profits +27.2 Stars as well (he’s averaged +27.2 Stars per season). Let’s say you decide to play 1.0% of your initial bankroll per star on the Football Best Bets and NBA Guru Best Bets and 0.8% per star on the Basketball Best Bets, as in the example above. Doing so would have an expected total return 68.0% per year based on flat-betting using your initial bankroll. Using an optimal betting strategy, as explained in the advanced money management section, would yield even higher long term returns while protecting the downside risk in the inevitable negative variance seasons that plague even the best long term handicappers.

In this special report we examine if we can Really make a living sports betting with the above 3 sports betting advantage play methods. Although I will briefly talk about why the 3 methods later, if you’re interested in the full rationale behind, please take a look at 3 Advantage Gambling in Sports Betting – Guide For Ordinary People To Beat Bookies;


For the World Cup final match on Sunday, when Croatia will face France, the French are strong favorites. At the online bookmaker bet365 on Friday, it cost you 250 to win 100 on a French victory, while you had to risk only 100 to win 200 on Croatia. I left out the dollar signs on those odds because they can’t take Americans’ bets. The difference of 50 in the payoffs is the sports-bookmaker’s “vigorish,” which corresponds to the spread between Buy and Sell quotes that provide the profit for market makers in our financial markets.

Betting on football matches is becoming more popular year on year, with a growing number of online bookmakers available to bet with. With football one of the world’s most popular sports, it is little surprise to see so much money is bet on the biggest games every day, with popular football betting markets including accumulators, both teams to score (BTTS) and goalscorer markets.
That 60% betting record (with the odds of -110 that is traditional for against the spread bets in football) will leave you with a profit of $160. Think about it—your $600 profit from your 6 winning bets minus the $440 you lost on losing bets leaves $160. It took you $1,100 to win $160, meaning you have to bet $6.87 to win $1 on average. So you see the small differences between a 52.4% winning rate and a 60% winning rate—inside those 7.3 percentage points lies hundreds of dollars in profit.
This is maybe the most important sports betting strategy. You will always want to do your research before placing your bets. Although going with your hunch when betting your favorite sport may work some of the time, in the long run it will not lead to you winning money betting on sports. In order to profit from sports betting you will need to research, study, and do your homework for each pick you make. Look at stats, find trends, create sports betting systems, analyze past games – basically do everything you could possibly do to ensure you have value in your pick before you place your wager.
This bookie is a high-volume bookmaker that takes $5,000 bets as routinely as most books take $100 bets. This is a very large and established operation that is best suited for the sophisticated player as well as large recreational players who typically wager $500 per event or more. Use exclusive code “BB878” to ensure you get lucrative welcome bonus.
In football it's possible for example to bet on who will descend or whether a certain team will finish among the top 3, 4 or 5. Additionally goal scorer bets are very popular: Who will score the most goals in a certain season in the Bundesliga or during the World Cup qualification? Additionally it's possible to place long-term bets according to the so-called over/under principle. Here you tip on, whether a certain number - given by the bookmaker - will be surpassed or not reached. One of many examples would be: Will Barcelona score more/less than 90 goals in the league? In this case we have a 2-way bet. The odds will be much lower in this case as it is usual for this betting form. Another 2-way bet would be a head-to-head bet: Who will be ranked higher in the end? Some betting providers also offer so-called coach bets: Which coach will be hired by a ceratin team? Which coach will lose his job next? Sometimes you can also find championship bets, where a clear favorite - in the case there is one - is more or less excluded. You could for example place a long-term bet on the champion of the German Bundesliga, where FC Bayern is not included. The sense in that: The offer per se and the betting odds get more attractive for betting friends! Football has by far the best portfolio regarding long-term bets, just like with other betting forms. Many of the mentioned alternatives can also be found for other sports though. In the motor sports and winter sports sector head-to-head long-term bets are very popular.

Serena Williams is the sport’s most dominant player. Going into the 2018 Wimbledon championships, Williams had won seven Wimbledon ladies’ singles titles and 23 Grand Slam singles championships. Even though she took off time in 2017 to have a baby and then suffered an injury in the French Open, she still was the pre-tournament betting favorite at Wimbledon this year. The overall odds looked like this:
The National Football League is fully against any sort of legalization of sports betting, strongly protesting it as to not bring corruption into the game. On the other hand, the CEO of the International Cricket Council believe sports betting, in particular in India, should be legalized to curb illegal bookies where match fixing has occurred from nontransparent bookmakers. Many of the illegal proceeds also allegedly go to fund terror, drugs and other illegal activities.[citation needed]
We want you to learn from our picks about sports betting, as this wisdom will be how you earn money over the long term. Check out our Paying For Picks in-depth article and one on Local Bookies to help you realize that betting at online sportsbooks is really the safest, most trusted and efficient method to bet on sports. Don’t miss our Sports Betting Strategy section where you can learn various sports betting strategies and how they apply to each professional sport.
Of the bets on the Russian Football Premier League is very popular long down-to-earth question is whether Carrera will be fired from “Spartacus” before the New year or he will go after the championship. But from the Zenit bookmakers expect more, because Roberto Mancini came to the team not in vain, and if nothing changes, he will fulfill his entire contract. Experts bookmakers expect the team’s big wins, including a possible victory in the Champions League and if we bet on it, and in season 2019-2020 this happen, at the rate of 10 Euro the player will receive a prize of 3,500 dollars, and even if this rate would be the minimum, the prize will be an impressive big. Of course, the real is victory in the Europa League, but here only the thirtyfold increase, which in itself is not bad.
Punters that bet on American football look for bookmakers that provide the best odds and the most betting options. The best American football betting sites offer a staggering amount of betting options on each game and many of them have bonuses and promotions that are aimed directly at American football bettors. Enhanced accumulators, free bets, and money back specials are just a few types of wagering incentives that punters should take into consideration.
Some final rules I live by: Understand betting completely and understand every aspect of this (not just knowing lines and percentages but how are these set and how to use that knowledge), never bet on your team, never bet based on someone else’s predictions or picks, never bet without being certain and at peace with your selection, know you don’t have to bet today or this week only bet if the numbers make sense, follow your rules and never make exceptions, believe that you’re putting money on a likely outcome and not gambling on outcomes, and finally know your limit (monetary, knowledge and skill) and quit if you can’t meet the standards of an average bettor. Losing money doesn’t mean you can’t do this. Even losing for a season. But you must be realistic with yourself and why you are losing and either get better in these areas or just quit because hobby betting is fine with a few bucks but hobby betting to win money is a recipe for losing your account.
Watching some of the fastest cars on the planet lap around a race course can make your head spin and so can the number of bookmakers that offer Formula One racing betting. When you want to bet on this exciting sport it is important to get the best prices, betting options and bonuses so that your victory laps will be that much sweeter when you win. Gamblingjudge.com is here to help you find the best Formula One betting site to suit your needs. It doesn’t matter if you are a small-time recreational gambler or big bettor; the right bookie is waiting for your F-1 action. There are lots of reputable bookmakers offering mobile betting, in-race betting, live streaming, and plenty of bonuses that are specifically designed for Formula One betting fanatics. Money back bets if your driver fails to finish the race, money back second place, and enhanced odds can be great advantages if F1 is your favourite sport to bet on.
Filling out a bracket is just one way to bet on the outcome of the French Open grand slam but online tennis betting offers plenty of more options, including betting on each tennis match outcome, lots of futures and proposition bets. Don’t miss reading our guide on how to bet on tennis online. Keep in mind that betting online is perfectly legal under U.S. federal law. Signing up at an online betting site to bet on the 2019 French Open grand slam will also net you a generous welcome signup deposit bonus from our trusted betting sites.
When Lyon and Barcelona clash on Tuesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, it will be just the first meeting between these two soccer clubs since 2009. Barcelona holds the head to head advantage, winning four of the six Champions League fixture and will likely add to that total once again this year. Barcelona topped Group B with 14 points (W4, D2) while turning in a +9-goal differential. Read More >>
It's unlikely/impossible that you can simplify things down to "bet any favorite in this situation" or "bet any total of
Before committing any real money, the researchers tested the idea on 10 years of historical data on the closing odds and results of 479,440 soccer games played between 2005 and 2015. This simulation paid out 44 percent of the time and delivered a yield of 3.5 percent over the 10-year period. “For an imaginary stake of $50 per bet, this corresponds to an equivalent profit of $98,865 across 56,435 bets,” they say.
I know that everyone wants to bet like they are Warren Buffet. But guys that have been successful in any “speculation market,” which is essentially what sports betting is, have done so through patience and savvy. I know it’s not “sexy” to say that you bet $112 on a game. People would much rather play for $500 to $1000 per game. But let’s leave sexy for the MTV crowd. To me being smart with your money and slowly growing your bank account is the best way to really make gambling part of your long-term enjoyment.
A handicapper gets information from numerous sources and assigns weights and values to the wagering data. They will make their own power ranking and predict what the point spread should be without looking at the official line. They compare their predictions to the line to look for discrepancies. A large amount of data is available via the internet and other sources that the handicapper will read through to find the gems. The use of computer programs can help when searching through the data.
Many of the leading gambling bookmakers from the 1930s to the 1960s got their start during the prohibition era of the 1920s. They were often descendants of the influx of immigrants coming into the USA at this time. Although the common stereotype is that these bookies were of Italian descent, many leading bookies were of eastern European ancestry.[4]
Of the bets on the Russian Football Premier League is very popular long down-to-earth question is whether Carrera will be fired from “Spartacus” before the New year or he will go after the championship. But from the Zenit bookmakers expect more, because Roberto Mancini came to the team not in vain, and if nothing changes, he will fulfill his entire contract. Experts bookmakers expect the team’s big wins, including a possible victory in the Champions League and if we bet on it, and in season 2019-2020 this happen, at the rate of 10 Euro the player will receive a prize of 3,500 dollars, and even if this rate would be the minimum, the prize will be an impressive big. Of course, the real is victory in the Europa League, but here only the thirtyfold increase, which in itself is not bad.

You can sort of do this yourself, but it’s not quite so easy. Fortunately you don’t need to take advantage of this profit source so much as ensure it’s not a profit drain. One method to do this is to cut out the middleman by placing your bets on an exchange like Betfair where you can actually act as a price-maker rather than a price-taker. Because it’s an exchange, you can’t always get paid to put on the bets you want, but sometimes you can, and overall you definitely pay much less to play than you would if you went to a traditional bookie. You can also reduce the vig by shopping around and betting with the best priced bookie, rather than going to the same place for all your bets.


The easiest way to demonstrate the math behind a sports bet is to make up an example. Let’s say you and your buddy walk into a casino, each with $200 burning a hole in your pocket. There’s a big game on tonight, the Cowboys and the Redskins, so you wander into the sportsbook to check up on the latest news about the game. While you’re sitting there, you see the wagering board, with some funny numbers on it. It looks like this:
When it comes to sports betting, each person may be trying to accomplish something different. If your objective is merely entertainment, then your goal is entirely different than my goal of making a living. If you bet $100 a game on Monday night football to enjoy the game, it will cost you $5 a week if you can go 50-50. There is nothing wrong with that. It's cheaper than a movie. But that is entertainment expense, not an excellent investment vehicle.
FootballExpert is your home for up-to-date betting previews and predictions on the biggest football matches. Our team of experts scour the web for up-to-date team news and betting odds to deliver comprehensive previews and recommended bets. Covering everything from club friendlies to the Champions League, as well as international matches and major tournaments, we deliver previews and betting guides for all of the biggest matches to maximise your chance to profit at the bookmakers. Read more

If you are a fan of sports betting you will LOVE Las Vegas. Being the only state in the union that allows legal betting on all of the major individual sports leagues and events, Las Vegas draws thousands of sports bettors year round. Almost all Las Vegas casinos feature a sportsbook and a number of big screen TVs which creates a great sports betting environment.
A three paragraph passage in his article noted that "Rays pitcher Sergio Romo struck out the side against the Angels on Saturday, then struck out three more batters in 1 1/3 innings the following afternoon. It was an unusual pairing of performances for one small reason: Romo had never struck out three batters on consecutive days before. And it was an unusual pairing of performances for one massive, potentially paradigm-shifting reason: Romo served as the modern era’s first designated “opener.”
Under no circumstances do we advise using a local bookie. The reason is two-fold. The first being that you would be breaking state law and put yourself and that bookie in legal trouble. The second being that your money isn’t very secure with them. With offshore betting sites, you have the security of knowing that they are regulated in their home country and that they offer 24/7 customer support via phone and online.
The DOJ ruling happened “at a very inopportune time” from MLB’s perspective, because some of the potential buyers of the networks “that probably would have been good for our sport” aren’t able to bid on them, Manfred said. He named AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq: CMCSA) as two examples. AT&T is in the process of a mega-merger of its own with Time Warner, while Comcast had recently completed a massive acquisition of U.K. media giant Sky.
The announcement comes in the wake of the May Supreme Court ruling that overturned the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA), the law that prevented states from regulating sports wagering. The NCAA fiercely opposed New Jersey�s efforts to legalize betting while PASPA was in effect, and remains concerned about how the betting industry could impact sports at the college level.
Imagine a football match between Team A and Team B. A sports betting agency offers the odds 1.8 for the victory of the home team (A). If we suppose a 10% margin of the betting agency then (according to its bookmaker) it represents 50% (or 0.5) winning chance of the Team A. How do we arrive at this value? The procedure to determine the odds and winning chances is described at the page Sportsbook odds calculation (clear examples are included). It will be partly obvious from the further text too.
The NFL’s official partnership with Caesars Entertainment is a perfect example of the value of contractual relationships between leagues and the casino gaming industry. The partnerships now in place between gaming companies and each of the four major American sports leagues enrich the fan experience and validate gaming’s role as a form of mainstream entertainment.
I bet on the Hamilton Tiger Cats yesterday in the CFL. Most people here probably don't follow the CFL but being Canadian, I do. Anyway, Hamilton was 4-5 on the Road. Toronto was 4-5 at Home. The bookies didn't give Hamilton much respect, so the odds were good for me to win. Hamilton paid 2.60 x my bet on a coin flip. Even odds are 1.91 / 1.91 where I bet.
Just because you have an edge does not mean you want to double down your entire stack. An easy way to look at it is like this. Let’s say you have a random number generator that is equally likely to select any number from 1-100. If the number is between 1-55 you win, if it’s 56-100 then you lose. How much would you be willing to risk in this situation?
And in a twist, it has been one of the very sports leagues that took New Jersey to court over PASPA, one of the same leagues that were laughed and shouted out of the room when meeting with Jersey lawmakers for possible integrity fees, that are speaking out on the state’s rates and fees. (For perspective, neighboring New Jersey will tax in-person revenue at 8.5 percent at casinos and racetracks, online casino revenue at 13 percent and online track revenue at 14.25 percent; Nevada has a 5-percent tax rate.)
So you are probably wondering how many bets it is normal to lose. This depends greatly on what kind of events you are betting. If your bets are such that the average odds are under 2/1, you will naturally need to lose less than half of them in order to profit in the long run, but some very successful punters will often place bets on 10/1 or 20/1 outcomes and they expect to lose quite a few of these before finally winning one.
All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.

Believe it or not, some people really do bet on sports for a living. Maybe they work part time at a sportsbook or in some other marginal job in the casino industry, but there is a group of gamblers who bet on sports for their life’s work. With all the math swirling around in our heads after the last bit of the article, it’s hard to imagine anyone wanting to do this for a living.
Matched betting is conceptually very simple technique and the easiest sports bets to win. We cover all the outcomes of the sports event by backing at bookmaker and laying at exchange. Since free bets are used for the backing at exchange it is Guaranteed Profit with 100% Risk Free. For those who are not familiar with Matched Betting, suggest you go through Matched Betting For Dummies – 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real Money;People generally rake thousands of £ only from bookmakers’ welcome (sign-up) bonus. Sadly, some matched bettors believe the welcome bonus is all about matched betting and neglect all the subsequent offers. Actually, the real tasty part is the abundance of Reload bonuses for existing players. You can continuously make decent solid income as long as you can manage to keep your account alive (the biggest obstacle for matched betting is the bookmaker’s account restriction which I will talk later). Remember, matched betting is based on the application of a mathematical equation rather than chance, basically you always get Positive EV. Therefore, we position matched betting at the right end in the above gambling / investment spectrum. Because it is even more certain outcome than fixed incomes. Bond still has various risks such as interest, credit or inflation but large part of matched betting is absolutely risk free with instant guaranteed profit.
Last 4 Premier League games have seen each team get a couple of wins with Chelsea Scoring 4 and City scoring 3 goals. It remains to be seen how both the tactically sound managers will set up their teams but expect Manchester City players and Manager to show that championship mentality and come up with a big, but close, result to sneak themselves to the top position on the table for one more week and push Chelsea out of the top-4.
This is maybe the most important sports betting strategy. You will always want to do your research before placing your bets. Although going with your hunch when betting your favorite sport may work some of the time, in the long run it will not lead to you winning money betting on sports. In order to profit from sports betting you will need to research, study, and do your homework for each pick you make. Look at stats, find trends, create sports betting systems, analyze past games – basically do everything you could possibly do to ensure you have value in your pick before you place your wager.

Like every successful bettor, we’re looking for inefficiencies in betting markets which pop up regularly with the sheer volume of games being played day in day out. Niels, our model maker, first identifies value bets through his xG (expected goals model) then we move on to an in-depth look at some situational statistics plus team news. Once we feel confident that the odds are stacked in our favor, we pull the trigger
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