While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and ‘quants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.
This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
Sports betting mistakes might happen even to the most experienced bettors. However, common mistakes are easy to prevent. At Safest Betting Sites, we offer bettors a large resource of betting strategy. Even with all this material, it’s easier for bettors to fall back into poor habits and sabotage themselves by making poor decisions. Below are some of the biggest mistakes and pitfalls losing bettors make and how to avoid them.
Tonight in Las Vegas the West Coast Conference Semifinals take place in what is an exciting time to be in Sin City. Fans from across the west have enjoyed coming to Vegas as this has been the site of numerous conference tournaments as of late. Monday we take advantage of one team we feel is getting way too much credit in this spot. Hope you join ...
Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.
“We are pleased to partner with MGM Resorts International, a clear industry leader in the sports gaming area, to work together on bringing innovative experiences to baseball fans and MGM customers,” MLB commissioner Robert Manfred Jr. said as part of Tuesday’s announcement. “Our partnership with MGM will help us navigate this evolving space responsibly and we look forward to fan engagement opportunities ahead.”
Before getting into the subject, allow me to stress that although we have used the word gambling, or how to win money gambling several times in this report, we actually never gamble which we define “Count On Chance”. Our aim of playing Sports Betting is to create solid Extra Money based on 6 Advantage Plays by making the best use of mathematical edge to beat the bookies, casino & bingo. When it comes to Sports Betting, we use Matched Betting / Sports Arbitrage / Value Bets On Proven Tipsters to lock-in profit or consistently earn extra income for long-term.
How did the NBA top a seven-game series that featured, arguably, its top two players? By having the best player not in the series join forces with the loser. Cavalier fans finally got to enjoy a championship, but the joy was short-lived. Kevin Durant bolted Oklahoma City to team up with Stephen Curry and the rest of the Golden State ... Read More »
One of the great things about tennis is that it closely followed by both men and women. Both sexes play at a high level and attract a lot of attention from fans and punters. Sportsbooks need to serve up aces if they are serious about getting you to bet on tennis. That is why the best tennis bookmakers offer great odds on as many events as possible. And boy, they make it easy to bet on every tournament on this planet!. They also have valuable tennis bonuses and promotions such as free tennis bets, acca insurance, and price boosts. Industry leaders get you right into the action by providing live tennis streams, in-play wagering, betting tips, and plenty of quick and easy payment options. The market offer and the dedicated bonuses make tennis a top selection when you choose the best sports to bet on.
Anything I can make guaranteed profit on. It is a Catch 22 though. The bigger leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) have more people wagering on them, so the odds of finding lines that differ between sports books is tougher. This is because the betting line only moves when too many people are wagering on 1 side. A $100 will have little to no impact on a Super Bowl line that already has millions in the pot. As long as Vegas has close to equal action on each side, they profit every time. The lesser known sports, have less money wagered on each game, so it's easier to spot vastly different lines between different sports books.
A three paragraph passage in his article noted that "Rays pitcher Sergio Romo struck out the side against the Angels on Saturday, then struck out three more batters in 1 1/3 innings the following afternoon. It was an unusual pairing of performances for one small reason: Romo had never struck out three batters on consecutive days before. And it was an unusual pairing of performances for one massive, potentially paradigm-shifting reason: Romo served as the modern era’s first designated “opener.”
But we, as sports fans, know that the mathematics of a sporting event is much more complex. Sports bettors deeply involved in their hobby will subscribe to weather bulletins from major cities that take part in their sport, making huge wagering decisions based on a few mph of wind in one direction or another. Then there’s the unknown—does a player get hurt in the first quarter? Does weather become a factor? Is a particular player “in the zone?”

Croatia and France - the final which, I am confident, no one outside of those two countries could have possibly imagined. Both teams have very much done enough to deserve to be here, though, and they set up to be a great finish to what has been an unpredictable and shockingly good tournament. It has been a wild ride from a betting perspective with so many favorites looking so undeserving of the respect that they were given. Read More >>


Virginia appears to be a potentially serious player on the sports betting front for 2019. The latest news coming out of the state involves an online-only sports betting bill pre-filed for next year’s legislative session by Delegate Mark Sickles. The proposed legislation, House Bill 1638 would repeal Virginia’s current ban on both sports betting and online lottery ticket sales.
A record $4.9 billion was bet, also known as the casino’s handle, on sports in Nevada in 2017, according to the UNLV Center for Gaming Research, growing more than 440 percent from $894,564,000 in 1984, the first year that the figure was tracked. Additionally, sports made up a record 2.15 percent of the state’s overall casino winnings in 2017, up from 0.68 percent in 1984.
Tonight in Las Vegas the West Coast Conference Semifinals take place in what is an exciting time to be in Sin City. Fans from across the west have enjoyed coming to Vegas as this has been the site of numerous conference tournaments as of late. Monday we take advantage of one team we feel is getting way too much credit in this spot. Hope you join ...
Head-to-Head. In these bets, bettor predicts competitors results against each other and not on the overall result of the event. One example are Formula One races, where you bet on two or three drivers and their placement among the others. Sometimes you can also bet a “tie”, in which one or both drivers either have the same time, drop out, or get disqualified.
You don’t need physical toughness but need strong mental discipline. Allow me to remind you of the importance of the “Character” we talked first. The real critical thing is Know Yourself and fostering the proper “Character”. As proven by numbers, you need only 57% win rate. Means you are allowed to loose 43%. However loosing in nearly half of betting can be quite tough experiences for some people, and feel intolerable. Pinnacle writer describes it Patience (as explained before Pinnacle is a must bookmaker for professional punters, so again strongly suggest see our Pinnacle full review). Thus quitting or do aggressive betting to recover loss quickly. That’s why we keep stressing that you should Know Your Level of Tolerance and develop proper “Character” to control the basic 1. – 4. points defined at the beginning. You need Character to ignore variance but focus on the long-term profit by believing mathematical advantage expressed in +EV.
Firstly, see the below table (sourced from Statista ) showing the amount of money people loose through gambling. In the US, the loss accounts around 0.6% of the whole nation’s GNP. Whatever American Gambling Association say or justify,  it’s a huge amount. No wonder people perceive gambling as a loser’s game and never even think about chances to make a living from it;
He scored a goal and had five chances created in Manchester City's 3-0 win at Shakhtar Donetsk, and finished with 24.5 fantasy points. His team is the second-biggest favorite this week, and I don't think Silva is as risky as Aguero. I'd be really surprised if Silva doesn't start, and there will also be other good options available in this tier on Wednesday in case he doesn't.
By giving all of your focus to a single sport and doing your due diligence, you can find great value on lines on a regular basis. Remember that public perception factors into the making of point spreads and moneylines as well; if you are way ahead of the public in terms of knowledge on a specific sport, you can spot lines that the average bettor might not.
The answer to this question actually depends to some extent on what part of the world we’re talking about. There are certain sports that are popular in some regions, but not so popular in others. However, there are a few sports that are popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, the following sports definitely rank the highest.
I bet on the Hamilton Tiger Cats yesterday in the CFL. Most people here probably don't follow the CFL but being Canadian, I do. Anyway, Hamilton was 4-5 on the Road. Toronto was 4-5 at Home. The bookies didn't give Hamilton much respect, so the odds were good for me to win. Hamilton paid 2.60 x my bet on a coin flip. Even odds are 1.91 / 1.91 where I bet.
The Buckeye State has a total of 11 land-based and racetrack casinos. One of its lawmakers, Sen. Bill Coley, notably advocated for interstate sports betting compacts that would include data sharing between jurisdictions at a U.S. Sports Betting Policy Summit in Washington, D.C. in November. That concept is deemed too ambitious by many at the moment, especially given recent rumblings about a forthcoming revised legal opinion on the reach of the Wire Act.
The second is to provide live odds feed for bettors to compare the odds some of the top sports betting sites are offering. As any experienced sports bettor knows, it is extremely important to compare odds and place your wagers using the best odds available to you. This is also referred to as “line shopping”. If you read any of our sports betting strategy articles you will know that this is a must if you want to make money betting on sports.

If you are a fan of sports betting you will LOVE Las Vegas. Being the only state in the union that allows legal betting on all of the major individual sports leagues and events, Las Vegas draws thousands of sports bettors year round. Almost all Las Vegas casinos feature a sportsbook and a number of big screen TVs which creates a great sports betting environment.

The cost of my College football service is $895, the cost of the NFL service is $995 ($1,595 for both services), my Basketball service is $895 ($2,195 for all Football and Dr. Bob’s Basketball service), and the NBA Guru subscription is well worth the $1495 given how profitable he’s been ($3,295 for all Football and all Basketball, including the NBA Guru). You must factor in that cost when calculating your expected return on investment (ROI). As explained above, winning 55% on the Football Best Bets and 53.5% on my Basketball Best Bets would yield an expected profit of +45.5 Stars and let’s assume the NBA Guru profits +27.2 Stars as well (he’s averaged +27.2 Stars per season). Let’s say you decide to play 1.0% of your initial bankroll per star on the Football Best Bets and NBA Guru Best Bets and 0.8% per star on the Basketball Best Bets, as in the example above. Doing so would have an expected total return 68.0% per year based on flat-betting using your initial bankroll. Using an optimal betting strategy, as explained in the advanced money management section, would yield even higher long term returns while protecting the downside risk in the inevitable negative variance seasons that plague even the best long term handicappers.
It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front $10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.
Volleyball is played on a professional level by both men and women. Whether it’s on the beach or indoors, volleyball has universal appeal and is played all over the planet. There are quite a few leagues as well as international competitions and, of course, the Olympics. This means that volleyball is a main feature at the most trusted sportsbooks and punters can place all kinds of different bets and take advantage of numerous volleyball bonuses and promotions. There are plenty of free volleyball bets available with which punters can wager on matches, sets, point spreads, and totals to name a few. The best volleyball betting sites give punters good odds and full coverage of these events. You can trust Gambling Judge to bring you the latest and greatest volleyball bonuses and betting incentives.
Think of buying picks from a professional handicapping service as investing in the stock market and not knowing enough about certain funds. You would enlist a broker to help you so you’re not investing your money in a Ponzi scheme. The same goes for sports betting. If you don’t have time to do your research or don’t have enough insight into the sports you want to bet on, using the services of an expert handicapper might be a good option.
If you’re an AZ resident and enjoy physically placing your sports wagers at gaming facilities you’ll have to travel a bit to do so. It should come as no surprise but many people in the area love to travel west to Nevada in order to indulge in some of the world’s finest gambling activities. New Mexico also provides a safe means to land-based sportsbooks.

Basketball has strong roots on the east coast and the NBA is one of the most popular professional sports leagues in America. All basketball (including college hoops) is second to the NFL in handle in Nevada sports betting. While the two states may not be apples to apples, the potential for basketball betting revenue in New Jersey can’t be overlooked.
Betting $50 on one game and $500 on another is a sure way to find yourself separated from your cash in the long run, just as betting 50-percent of your bankroll on one game will ultimately lead to disaster. A sports bettor may win a few games when betting more than they should, but eventually, the loss, or losses, will come and the bettors end up in trouble.
My long term percentage on College Football Best Bets is 56% (1290-1017-40 over 29 years) and the new NFL play-by play model was 100-69 (59.2%) in 2016. However, despite being a combined 148-107 (58.0%) on Football Best Bets, college and NFL, in 2016, I will continue to use 55% winners as a realistic goal going forward. If I expect 55% on 200 Football Best Bets (I had 255 last year, which was higher than expected) then the expected profit at -110 odds would be 200 x (0.55 – (1.1 x 0.45), which is +11.0 units (or +22.0 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars). The Kelly Criterion recommends a wager of 3.4% of your bankroll for a wager with a 55% chance of winning and odds of -110. However, the Kelly formula assumes sequential betting and sports betting usually involves simultaneous betting, which is part of the reason behind using some fraction of full Kelly to reduce risk. If I play 2.0% of my initial bankroll per bet, or 1.0% per Star, (i.e. flat betting) then my expected return during football season (5 months) is 22.0%. Adjusting your bankroll after each week rather than flat betting will increase your expected return, as explained in the KC simulation section of my money management section.

All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

The Cronje Affair was an India-South Africa Cricket match fixing scandal that went public in 2000.[57] It began in 1996 when the-then captain of the South African national cricket team, Hansie Cronje, was convinced by Mukesh "John" Gupta, an Indian bookmaker, to throw a match during a Test in Kanpur, India. The scheme was discovered when Delhi police recorded illegal dealings between Indian bookmaker Sanjay Chawla and Cronje. According to the Telegraph in 2010, Cronje was paid off a total of £65,000 from Gupta.[58]
Perhaps you’ve heard of the Super Bowl? If not then you should know that it is one of the biggest annual betting events. American football is like a religion in North America. It hasn’t been as globally accepted as other sports but its popularity is growing. The NFL is the most well-known American football league there is but NCAA college football, the Canadian Football League, and a couple other smaller leagues have large followings and bookmakers take a lot of bets on them, so you will never run out of markets to bet. A fresh list of betting lines is usually up every Sunday night during football season and punters can’t wait to get their bets in.
Placing $460 bets on each of these games, a number pulled from some quick and dirty math about how much you could afford to bet in a single week’s NFL play without blowing your bankroll, would result in a $4,048 profit if you maintain that 55% winning record. Turning $10,000 into $14,048 in just four months is an investment return of 40.48%. I dare you to ask your bank for that kind of return on your savings account.
MyBookie.ag is the top sportsbooks online. They have plenty of advantages over their competitors starting with a Welcome Bonus of 50% Up To $1,000. The number of betting markets provided is so vast that MyBookie is the betting site that you can “truly bet on anything.” They offer free credit and debit card deposits. Deposits and withdrawals are also fast and free of charge if you’re using cryptocurrencies.
Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.
"Romo has started two games after making his first 588 career appearances as a reliever. But he was doing so on consecutive days, with the express purpose of clearing the top of the Angels’ lineup before making way for pitchers—normally starters—who would give Tampa Bay more innings. Romo was technically starting, but not in the traditional sense of the term. He was opening—the games, and, perhaps, a futuristic path to ordering a pitching staff" Ray stated.

Where you see “Total O/U” (sometimes called totals betting), this is the amount won on OVER or UNDER picks. For Lega Serie A, the OVER/UNDER is anything that will affect the outcome of the match like injuries (real injuries that occur prior to a game), weather conditions (heat and wind will play major factors in the game’s outcome), and how good or bad each club is offensively and defensively. 
×