“I think they will all participate and would be shocked if they didn’t,” Pennsylvania Rep. Robert Matzie told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette earlier this month. “In sports-crazy Pittsburgh and sports-crazy Philadelphia, you’re going to see it bring a lot more people into the casino, watching the big-screen TVs, and when they get those people in the door to bet they’ll also hopefully drop money at the tables or in the slots.”
The most important consideration when buying picks is finding veteran handicappers who are true experts in their field and are also known throughout the industry as being the best at what they do. There are “scamdicappers” out there who overly promote themselves with the aim to deceive. These are horrible people who will provide you with false records in hopes of taking your money. Any of the picks services we promote on OddsShark are thoroughly vetted, trustworthy and don’t make false promises. Check out our Top Picks Services pages for Canada and the United States for more information.
Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days! She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
The National Football League is fully against any sort of legalization of sports betting, strongly protesting it as to not bring corruption into the game. On the other hand, the CEO of the International Cricket Council believe sports betting, in particular in India, should be legalized to curb illegal bookies where match fixing has occurred from nontransparent bookmakers. Many of the illegal proceeds also allegedly go to fund terror, drugs and other illegal activities.
Each professional handicapping service offers a different subscription service. However, most allow you to purchase picks for a single day, week, month, season or year. If you're looking to bet on a certain sport and only that sport, a seasonal subscription could prove to be beneficial. If you're looking to bet solely on MLB, it would make sense for you to buy a picks package from the end of March until the last game of the World Series to ensure that the entire baseball season is covered. If you have a general interest in sports betting then you may want to purchase picks for a day and see if you like the service.
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A picks service is a professional handicapping company that provides sports bettors with predictions for a fee. Most picks services run on a subscription model where you can purchase predictions for a day, a week, a year or for a season. Handicapping and betting tips are offered on every major sport like the NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, soccer, and college football and basketball. You’ll also be able to purchase picks for the WNBA, CFL and the UFC. Though, not every professional picks site provides angles and predictions for every UFC fight or every soccer game.
Most bettors place lots of wagers because they think it will improve their chances of making money. We can see the logic in thinking this way, but the opposite is actually true. It’s the QUALITY of our wagers that improves our chances of making money, not the quantity of them. And the more wagers we place, the less likely we are to place good wagers.
If you’ve ever been tempted by a flutter, you’ll know how bookmakers and casinos stack the odds against you. The clearest example is roulette, where there are 36 red and black numbers plus the green numbers 0 and (in the U.S.) 00. So that’s 38 possibilities in total. When betting on red or black, the odds of choosing correctly are 18/38, and a fair payout for a $1 stake is $2.111. However, the house pays only $2 and keeps the difference. In that way, it guarantees itself a profit.
Details of the bill as it pertains to sports betting include: The state’s lottery serving as the overseer of implementation and ongoing regulation; five sports betting licenses being made available at an initial cost of $250,000 each; sports betting revenue being taxed at 15 percent, with 2.5 percent of it going to the lottery for administrative fees.
Value betting is a pretty simple concept. You use sharp bookmakers (those that don’t limit winning players) as an indicator for value. What I mean by this is that if the bookmaker Pinnacle is offering Man Utd at 2.0 to beat West Ham. Whilst Stan James has Man Utd priced 2.15 for the same game. We can estimate that Stan James are offering us a value bet.
Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.
As your bankroll increases (or in some cases, decreases) after each week, so will the size of your bets. Betting on sports will usually come in winning or losing steaks and this strategy allows you to bet more when you are winning and cut back when you are losing. Using this method will also allow you to never go broke since you are essentially starting out with a new bankroll and betting about 20% of that new bankroll each and every week.
Some final rules I live by: Understand betting completely and understand every aspect of this (not just knowing lines and percentages but how are these set and how to use that knowledge), never bet on your team, never bet based on someone else’s predictions or picks, never bet without being certain and at peace with your selection, know you don’t have to bet today or this week only bet if the numbers make sense, follow your rules and never make exceptions, believe that you’re putting money on a likely outcome and not gambling on outcomes, and finally know your limit (monetary, knowledge and skill) and quit if you can’t meet the standards of an average bettor. Losing money doesn’t mean you can’t do this. Even losing for a season. But you must be realistic with yourself and why you are losing and either get better in these areas or just quit because hobby betting is fine with a few bucks but hobby betting to win money is a recipe for losing your account.
There's been so much buzz about the 18-year-old Englishman plying his trade in the Bundesliga, and rightfully so -- he already has four goals and six assists in 10 games domestically, and one apiece in three Champions League games. But Borussia Dortmund are playing at Atletico Madrid, which should be difficult, despite the fact Dortmund beat them 4-0 in Germany.
There are currently three pre-filed bills ahead of the 2019 legislative session: BR 15, BR 29 and BR 320. That’s indicative of what’s expected to be a legitimately serious push for legalization of various forms gaming in the Bluegrass State in the coming year. Notably, BR 15 calls for the Kentucky Lottery Corporation to establish a sports wagering regulatory infrastructure.
Oklahoma City visits Salt Lake City in a Western Conference event versus the Utah Jazz on Monday night. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Thunder have lost six of their past eight games to fall into a tie with the Blazers for the fourth seed in the West. Likewise the Jazz suffered a disappointing close to their week surrendering a double-digit fourth-quarter lead at altitude to a lame-duck Pelicans troupe, as well, losing to the Grizzlies in Memphis. NBA Preview and Free Pick: Thunder +4 vs. Jazz.
When it comes to the Casino games, there is House Edge you can’t mathematically overcome. It’s the margin casino build in all through the games, and as long as the house edge exists the EV is negative. The % of the house edge depends on the game. According to The Wizard of Odds, it ranges between the lowest o.3% of Blackjack and 25% of Keno. The American Roulette is 5.6%, means if you stake $100 on Roulette you will lose average $5.6. Don’t misunderstand, always Variance comes in, thus you are not necessary to lose $5.6 every time when you bet $100 but the more you bet the closer to this number the loss will be. Say, if you stake $10,000 x 1 or $5,000 x 2, you may make a lot or lose everything, this is due to Variance. However you play $100 x 100 or $10 x 1,000 times, then you will quite likely to lose $560. That’s how mathematics of EV works.
How much real cash sports betting did you do from January through to September? If you did none or little, you lost out on some great opportunities. If you’re into year-round real cash sports betting, make sure that you check out our free pick pages each and every day. We always have a free pick or two or more ready and waiting for you. Don’t lose out by limiting your sports betting opportunities. There’s a lot going on throughout the year.
The NBA Comp play is to play over the total in the Oklahoma City at Utah game at 9:00 eastern. The Thunder have flown over in 8 of 10 on Mondays ads the last 4 if they have lost 6 or 7 of the last 8 games. The Jazz are 6 of 6 over off a straight up favored loss and 5 of 6 over off a road loss by 10 or more. From the NBA System database we see that rested road dogs with a 200 or higher total that failed to cover as a road dog and allowed 110 or more points are 17 of 20 Over since 1995 vs a team that failed to cover by 7 or more as a road favorite like Utah. Play this game over the total. On monday the 2019 NBA Total of the year headlines along with a 19-0 Conference tournament System in College hoops.. For the NBA Free pick. Play the Thunder and Jazz over the total. RV- GC Sports.
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
The sports books line is flawed if it does not attract the same action amount on both sides. From a smart handicapper’s point of view, the line is flawed when it does not compute to his predicted outcome of the game. A weaker team can actually become the favorite if public sentiment is with that team. When this happens the underdog presents a huge overlay for the seasoned handicapper tilting the odds in his favor. This is the contrarian principle and why many smart handicappers go against the general betting public.
It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front $10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
Although, the one activity you won’t find in any of those casinos is sports gambling. But, before you pack your bags and plan your trip to a bordering state, you should know that legal sports betting in Arizona can be found in your own home. Online offshore sportsbooks offer those same types of Vegas-style odds boards to any AZ resident with an internet connection. We’ll discuss the legality of using these sites, what it will take to see legal sports betting offered at casinos, and we’ll even cover topics like daily fantasy sports and pari-mutual wagering.
The 1st concern is the compounding & stake limit. Just don’t take literally on the compound part. If follow the above process with compound mechanics and increase your bankroll to $20,000 after 1 year, your each bet would become over $1,000 (5% of total bankroll) and exponentially increase afterwards. In practice you will find no bookmakers that can keep accepting such high-rollers’ bet except a few.
What about financial products which are usually perceived as investment such as Equity (Stock) or Bond (Fixed Income)? Annual Returns on Stock, T.Bonds and T.Bills: 1928 – Current shows S&P 500 (US Stock Index) average is 11.41% while 10 year T-Bond is 5.23%. However, when it comes to the standard deviation (fluctuation of return), off course Stock is much higher. According to CFA Digest, stocks are about 3 times more volatile than bonds on average. Means the certainty of outcome in Positive return of Fixed Income is surely higher than Stock. The below chart is just giving you how the magnitude of the difference of volatility between these 2 assets class are (sourced from Market Realist);
Mississippi became the fourth state in the United States to launch sports betting operations on August 1, 2018 when Gold Strike Casino Resort in Tunica Resorts and Beau Rivage in Biloxi started taking wagers. On August 30, 2018, West Virginia became the fifth state to launch sports betting, with Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races the first casino to offer sports betting. New Mexico became the sixth state to offer sports betting on October 16, 2018 with the launch of sports betting at the Santa Ana Star Casino in Bernalillo.
The last tip I have for you is to try and place your bets at the right time. With lines shifting from the time they are posted to the time the game starts, you will want to get your bet in at the time when you are getting the best price. Predicting line movements is extremely hard but it is worth looking into. Check out the video below that I made titled “When To Place Your Bets”.
Let me put what we have reviewed in this way; The bookmakers have edge of built-in margin but unlike casino where pure mathematics governs, the sports betting is pretty much skill oriented game thus successful Software / Tipsters (Handicappers) / Systems turn their edge into ours. They can identify a True Value Bet in the form of UNDER-ROUND in the selected sports category where they have absolute skill edge. These will result in Positive EV (Expected Value) that’s a mathematical formula to allow you achieve average long-term profit. This +EV will be translated into the additional winning rate to 57%. For further details of EV and its rationale, you may want to read the one I introduced at the beginning, especially Value Bet section;
Betting $50 on one game and $500 on another is a sure way to find yourself separated from your cash in the long run, just as betting 50-percent of your bankroll on one game will ultimately lead to disaster. A sports bettor may win a few games when betting more than they should, but eventually, the loss, or losses, will come and the bettors end up in trouble.
Most wins by any single pitcher will carry less emphasis moving forward. Thus offering starters a number of sabbaticals throughout a season will become more common. If for nothing else to simply reduce the number of innings across a 162-game season. Especially for a team that figures to be a part of the playoffs which expands the wear and tear on a pitchers arm.
This all involves placing bets on a large number of games. This is the safest way to generate consistent money betting on sports. By spreading your risk over many games, you diversify your bankroll and investments. Your positive expectation can take over in the long run. Short term fluctuations won't make much difference. Your risk of ruin (chances of going broke) are minimal.
Each better must know his limits and choose the sport, competition and region accordingly. Information is vital – the more you know about the sport, the better for you. The information sources are the Internet, watching TV, participation on the matches etc. Betting according to the actual ranking such as "the third team plays the one but last team" is certainly insufficient.
In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”
Rugby League and Rugby Union combine to attract a massive global audience and an astronomical amount of betting action each year. There are countless professional leagues and a great many international events which means that punters have a nearly endless supply of betting opportunities. It’s not unusual for each individual match to feature well over 30 pre-match wagering possibilities. It gets even better when one considers all of the bets that can be made while a match is in progress.
Together, college and pro basketball have historically been one of the biggest winners for sportsbooks in Nevada. According to UNLV Gaming, sportsbooks actually won more money in 2017 from basketball than any other sport. Last year college and pro basketball win for sportsbooks were $87,431,000 while football (college and pro) was $76,896,000. Basketball accounted for slightly more than 35% of the win for sportsbooks last year.
The discussion has been going on all season, but with the release of the first College Football Playoff Rankings, we can see who has the inside track on the postseason and who’s leading the way in the bowl projections for 2017. Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, and Texas A&M fans can breathe easy for now according to college football predictions, but we ... Read More »
The objective of this special report is examining if we can make realistically a living sports betting, and if so identify how we can. I examined 3 selected sports betting methods and I will leave the final judgement to you. Please read me correctly. I’m not personally supporting the notion to make a living sports betting. Because our GEM’s basic mission is providing you with the safety methods to create EXTRA money, means On The Side for your rainy day. If you have time, I would like you to check the detail background & rationale behind this concept, so please read; 3 Smart Ways To Create Extra Income Stream From Home & Why We Need Extra Money.
Matched betting is conceptually very simple technique and the easiest sports bets to win. We cover all the outcomes of the sports event by backing at bookmaker and laying at exchange. Since free bets are used for the backing at exchange it is Guaranteed Profit with 100% Risk Free. For those who are not familiar with Matched Betting, suggest you go through Matched Betting For Dummies – 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real Money;People generally rake thousands of £ only from bookmakers’ welcome (sign-up) bonus. Sadly, some matched bettors believe the welcome bonus is all about matched betting and neglect all the subsequent offers. Actually, the real tasty part is the abundance of Reload bonuses for existing players. You can continuously make decent solid income as long as you can manage to keep your account alive (the biggest obstacle for matched betting is the bookmaker’s account restriction which I will talk later). Remember, matched betting is based on the application of a mathematical equation rather than chance, basically you always get Positive EV. Therefore, we position matched betting at the right end in the above gambling / investment spectrum. Because it is even more certain outcome than fixed incomes. Bond still has various risks such as interest, credit or inflation but large part of matched betting is absolutely risk free with instant guaranteed profit.
You see, although this article is named “The Best Sports for Betting,” there’s really no such thing. There are definitely sports that WE think are better, but not everyone is going to have the same opinions. The best sport for one person to bet on might be a terrible sport for someone else. It depends on several different factors. A similar principle applies to whether it’s best to wager on one sport, a couple of sports, or a variety of sports. There’s no “optimal” number of sports here. Again, there are a lot of factors that come into play.
For example, you can bet on the New England Patriots to repeat as Super Bowl champs next season at +700 on FanDuel Sportsbook right now. Last season, by the time there were just eight teams remaining in the NFL playoffs, only the true underdogs to win another game had better odds. In fact, 888 Sport had the Patriots at +600 and listed three other teams with even lower odds.
He had two goals and an assist in Roma's 3-0 home win over CSKA Moscow two weeks ago, and a hat trick in a 5-0 home win over Viktoria Plzen in Matchweek 2. It's hard not to pick Dzeko here, even playing in Moscow. He didn't score in a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on Saturday, but still took six shots. And Dzeko scored eight goals in 12 Champions League games last season.