The 2nd concern is 57% winning rate. Is it something everybody can achieve? The video assumes we get 100% winning amount of our original bet amount when we win (namely 2.0 decimal odds). However, that’s the return we can expect under the magic break-even rate of 52.4%, therefore we have to achieve nearly 9% better (57% / 52.4) winning rate than the probability of outcome the actual odds at bookmaker suggests.
As to long term rates can be attributed to political battles where players are eyeing the political developments trying to predict the developments in different countries. Already today it is possible to put on the United States presidential election of 2020, and Donald trump is one of the favorites, as well flashed the name Michelle Obama, but that is nothing more than “fake,” but mark Zuckerberg can struggle for a place of honor in the White house.
“We are pleased to partner with MGM Resorts International, a clear industry leader in the sports gaming area, to work together on bringing innovative experiences to baseball fans and MGM customers,” MLB commissioner Robert Manfred Jr. said as part of Tuesday’s announcement. “Our partnership with MGM will help us navigate this evolving space responsibly and we look forward to fan engagement opportunities ahead.”
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The NBA Comp play is to play over the total in the Oklahoma City at Utah game at 9:00 eastern. The Thunder have flown over in 8 of 10 on Mondays ads the last 4 if they have lost 6 or 7 of the last 8 games. The Jazz are 6 of 6 over off a straight up favored loss and 5 of 6 over off a road loss by 10 or more. From the NBA System database we see that rested road dogs  with a 200 or higher total that failed to cover as a road dog and allowed 110 or more points are 17 of 20 Over since 1995 vs a team that failed to cover by 7 or more as a road favorite like Utah. Play this game over the total. On monday the 2019 NBA Total of the year headlines along with a 19-0 Conference tournament System in College hoops.. For the NBA Free pick. Play the Thunder and Jazz over the total. RV- GC Sports.


A record $4.9 billion was bet, also known as the casino’s handle, on sports in Nevada in 2017, according to the UNLV Center for Gaming Research, growing more than 440 percent from $894,564,000 in 1984, the first year that the figure was tracked. Additionally, sports made up a record 2.15 percent of the state’s overall casino winnings in 2017, up from 0.68 percent in 1984.
For many states that don’t have regulated laws regarding sports gambling, residents turn to daily fantasy sports as an alternative means to bet. However, Arizona residents do not have that option. While many argue that DFS is a game of skill, based on the analytical research needed to make picks, AZ lawmakers claim that it is a game of chance and therefore prohibited. There are currently no DFS sites that will accept Arizona residents and these include DraftKings and FanDuel. Not even Fantasy Draft or Yahoo will risk allowing AZ residents to sign up. The good news is traditional and legal Arizona sports betting can still be had at online offshore sportsbooks and many of them offer contests similar to DFS sites.

Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.


Watching some of the fastest cars on the planet lap around a race course can make your head spin and so can the number of bookmakers that offer Formula One racing betting. When you want to bet on this exciting sport it is important to get the best prices, betting options and bonuses so that your victory laps will be that much sweeter when you win. Gamblingjudge.com is here to help you find the best Formula One betting site to suit your needs. It doesn’t matter if you are a small-time recreational gambler or big bettor; the right bookie is waiting for your F-1 action. There are lots of reputable bookmakers offering mobile betting, in-race betting, live streaming, and plenty of bonuses that are specifically designed for Formula One betting fanatics. Money back bets if your driver fails to finish the race, money back second place, and enhanced odds can be great advantages if F1 is your favourite sport to bet on.
If you want to make money, you need to start with a betting bankroll capable of absorbing losses. If you're going to bet in units, with an average bet of 1 unit, I would recommend a bankroll of at least 50 units. Minimum. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of $1000, which means your average unit will be $20. Sounds small time I know and you want to be a high roller. Well a $1000 bankroll can quickly turn into a substantial amount with consistent value recognition and an intelligent staking plan. Lets say you bet 200 bets a year. And for argument sake lets say they are all of 1.90 odds, and lets say you hit at a 54% strike rate. Well with a fractional Kelly staking plan at the end of those 200 bets, depending on your winning consistency which should even out over a long term, your bankroll will be in the ballpark of $1100.00. Yeah I hear what you're saying - that's only 100.00 profit over the year. Well, that's just betting 200 bets a year, with a 2.6% average return per bet.

Value betting is a pretty simple concept. You use sharp bookmakers (those that don’t limit winning players) as an indicator for value. What I mean by this is that if the bookmaker Pinnacle is offering Man Utd at 2.0 to beat West Ham. Whilst Stan James has Man Utd priced 2.15 for the same game. We can estimate that Stan James are offering us a value bet.

It's possible but rare. There are lots of opportunities that bookies miss but over time they usually adjust. For example Wong Teasers (teasing through both the 3 and 7 in NFL) were highly profitable for a while and now evidence shows they are less so, if at all, as the info becomes public and books adjust payouts and shade teaser lines to compensate. So there are "loopholes" to try and exploit.
On dealing with Disney: Manfred explained MLB’s rationale for bidding on some of the Fox regional sports networks that were to be acquired by The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS). The networks were part of Disney’s $71 billion purchase of the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox (Nasdaq: FOXA, FOX), but in approving the transaction, the U.S. Department of Justice directed Disney to divest the sports networks, since it already owns ESPN.
Mississippi became the fourth state in the United States to launch sports betting operations on August 1, 2018 when Gold Strike Casino Resort in Tunica Resorts and Beau Rivage in Biloxi started taking wagers.[35] On August 30, 2018, West Virginia became the fifth state to launch sports betting, with Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races the first casino to offer sports betting.[36] New Mexico became the sixth state to offer sports betting on October 16, 2018 with the launch of sports betting at the Santa Ana Star Casino in Bernalillo.[37]
Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.

Most wins by any single pitcher will carry less emphasis moving forward.  Thus offering starters a number of sabbaticals throughout a season will become more common. If for nothing else to simply reduce the number of innings across a 162-game season. Especially for a team that figures to be a part of the playoffs which expands the wear and tear on a pitchers arm. 

Smith’s bill does include a 1 percent integrity fee, although there’s a tweak with that aspect in his legislation as well — 75 percent is paid to registered professional sports leagues, while 25 percent would be paid to the NCAA on wagers that involve major college teams. The bill would include a $10,000 application fee and $5,000 annual renewal fee for “interactive gaming licenses,” aka on-site mobile wagering. Traditional brick-and-mortar licenses would also be subject to a $10,000 application fee.
Think of buying picks from a professional handicapping service as investing in the stock market and not knowing enough about certain funds. You would enlist a broker to help you so you’re not investing your money in a Ponzi scheme. The same goes for sports betting. If you don’t have time to do your research or don’t have enough insight into the sports you want to bet on, using the services of an expert handicapper might be a good option.
Multi-bets. Parlays. Teasers. Whatever you like to call them, know when to bet them and when not to. Sure they offer the promise of the big score, the big pay day, but unless you have done your analysis and have located true value, they are a terrible way to bet. Look at it this way. If you place a multi-bet of 4 legs, and you were getting full price even money odds of 2.00 for each leg, the odds for that multi would be 16.00. Now lets look at a real world example where you're being offered lets say 1.90 for 'even money' with the bookmaker taking out 5%: the odds for that same 4 leg multi would be just 13.00. That's taking out close to 19% of the full price of that bet.
As to long term rates can be attributed to political battles where players are eyeing the political developments trying to predict the developments in different countries. Already today it is possible to put on the United States presidential election of 2020, and Donald trump is one of the favorites, as well flashed the name Michelle Obama, but that is nothing more than “fake,” but mark Zuckerberg can struggle for a place of honor in the White house.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
There’s no doubting that PNC Park is one of the most beautiful baseball stadiums in the country. The Pirates have been asking the state for funds to maintain the stadium for the past five to seven years. Despite being a profitable business, it probably makes sense that the state pay for upkeep since the residents of Pennsylvania paid to build the stadium.

Then the playoffs begin! We’re prepping for the season by researching for our upcoming series of team, division, and league previews, which will be published during spring training, and offering insights into the upcoming season with various articles such as our recent piece on five of the top starting pitchers on which you may want to bet in 2018.
The Key: The Utah Jazz will be hungry for a victory tonight over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  They have lost all 3 meetings with the Thunder this season, including the last two in excruciating fashion by a single point each.  They’ll avoid the season sweep and get a win and cover at home tonight.  The Thunder have been vulnerable of late, going 3-7 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They just aren’t playing much defense at all, allowing 108-plus points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  The Jazz are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games off a loss.  Take Utah.
The NBA Guru Basketball service has achieved even higher returns in the 5 seasons that the Guru has been with Dr Bob Sports. The NBA Guru has an incredible record of 647-532-20 (54.9%) on his Best Bets over 5 seasons and 1366-1118-41 on a Star Basis for +136.0 Stars (with an extra -0.2 for added juice), which is an average of +27.2 Stars per season. You can risk more of your bankroll per play with the NBA Guru because he has a higher win percentage and fewer plays. I recommend 2.0% of your bankroll per play, or 1.0% per Star on NBA Guru Best Bets.
Look at the above example again. You and your buddy each paid $10 to the bookie to place your bet. That’s what the standard 11/10 odds in sports betting are all about. You bet the Cowboys and your buddy bet the Redskins, a total of $220 bet. The sportsbook has to pay back $210 to the winner, leaving a nice $10 profit no matter what happens on the football field. That $10 built-in profit is called the vigorish, and it’s the final monkey wrench in the gears of sports betting.
Then the playoffs begin! We’re prepping for the season by researching for our upcoming series of team, division, and league previews, which will be published during spring training, and offering insights into the upcoming season with various articles such as our recent piece on five of the top starting pitchers on which you may want to bet in 2018.

On the flip side, I bet sports as basically a second income. I am very thankful to have a job in engineering that affords me the opportunity to bet enough to accomplish this and leaves me a safety net to lose what I put in and be okay. Just an example is for college football season this year (2018), I put in $10,000 for the regular season. I can do what I want within the season with that but will not buy back in. I also will never exceed $10,000 in bets at one time. My account will always be viewed as having $10,000 during this season because I never want to bet more because I have won and have profits. That is a common problem for gamblers and it really is difficult to avoid the thought of well I can make so much more if I bet this much more. It is 100% true that money management is the most important aspect of sports betting. If you can’t do this well, you may get into serious financial trouble at worst, and less important but still relevant, you will not be able to beat the sports books constantly or over time without understanding which bets make sense by realizing how much to bet, which lines to bet and which matchups offer the highest win and payout percentages. Most hobby betters bet based on how much they can win in a bet, a handicapper or shark bets where they are getting the best odds for their money. Maybe they don’t even believe in the team to win, but if the value makes sense, they will wager on it because it makes sense financially. So an example is you have $2000 and want to bet on at most two games. The average person would tend to bet on as many outcomes as possible but in this case would take two teams and we will say standard line of -110. What has happened is that you have really damaged your chance of making a profit on this bet. This is due to beginning each matchup with a basic, implied odds of 52.38% which means you have this % chance to win one game. This comes from the line of -110 (if it was -100 or even odds, you would have a 50% chance to win) which converts to 1.91 decimal odds. You divide 1 (one bet) by the decimal % (1/1.91) and get 52.38%. So on two games, at -110, you will have 13/5 fractional odds (just an example here) to win or 2.6 decimal odds so you should divide 1 by 2.6 which gives you 38.46% implied odds to win both bets. What would the bets pay out? Win one at $1000 with -110 (1.91 decimal odds so 1.91*1000=payout) and you get $909.09 profit from the win and a total back of $1909.09 with your bet amount returned. So maybe you can see why 2 bets wouldn’t be a great investment. If not, here’s why. Say you win just 1 of the two matchups, you get the payout of $1909.09 so you have lost money on your bets for the day. And with only a 38% chance to win (usually will be a little less maybe a little more depending on the odds and line) both bets and taking $1818.18 in profits, you are not going to beat those percentages over time which is the only thing that matters to a professional bettor. Putting all of your money on one outcome offers the best chance to win and the same payout amount so obviously you are getting a better return on your money and will have a better chance to walk away with a profit at season’s end. So this is a very simplistic example and doesn’t take into account lines or the options of taking the points for an underdog with a decent positive moneyline. Just a rule to state here: never bet more than you can afford to lose or care about losing.

Join Buster Sports for their CBB BEST BET OF THE DAY. Buster Sports swept their NBA/NHL BEST BET BONUS last night as both games were the easiest of winners. Tonight Buster sports have isolated one game on the CBB slate and made it their CBB BEST BET OF THE DAY. Its NINE DOLLAR MONDAY at WagerTalk and you get this 4% BEST BET RELEASE for ONLY $9. This release comes with a detailed analysis and statistical information on why Buster Sports have made this bet. So lets get the job done with Buster Sports

Undisputed No.1 bookmaker for Sharp Punters. They operate on unique business model with the lowest bookmaking margin, namely the best possible pricing to attract sharp punters rather than promotion such as bonus. It allows the highest concentration of sharp players to shape its line, which in turn shaped the rest of the sports betting market. The next Bookmaker.eu and Pinnacle are the most watched bookies by the whole industry including Las Vegas. High roller, professional punter, accepted, even sports arbitrage is officially promoted in the site. You will find more about this bookmaker in Pinnacle Sports Exclusive Review – True Voices of Insiders;


You're looking for 10-20 bets a week for something that runs almost the entire year? The answer is really MLB and nothing else. Large volume of games, long season, great for minimizing variance. Yes, tennis and soccer run for most of the year, but good luck trying to get a handle on all the different moving parts those markets entail (e.g., all the different leagues and countries in soccer, how would you even get to start focusing on something to be high volume?) to be able to squeeze out an edge as you are starting out. If you're used to modeling golf, getting into baseball shouldn't too too far of a stretch since a lot of the modeling is based on the individual level rather than the team.

Cash Out. Cash Out lets you take profit early if your bet is coming in, or get some of your stake back if your bet is going against you—all before the event you’re betting on is over. Cash Out offers are made in real time on your current bets, based on live market prices. Whenever you are ready to Cash Out, simply hit the yellow button. Cash out is available on singles and multiples, on a wide range of sports, including American football, tennis, horse racing, basketball, and many more! You can Cash Out of bets pre-play, in-play, and between legs.[1]
On the flip side, I bet sports as basically a second income. I am very thankful to have a job in engineering that affords me the opportunity to bet enough to accomplish this and leaves me a safety net to lose what I put in and be okay. Just an example is for college football season this year (2018), I put in $10,000 for the regular season. I can do what I want within the season with that but will not buy back in. I also will never exceed $10,000 in bets at one time. My account will always be viewed as having $10,000 during this season because I never want to bet more because I have won and have profits. That is a common problem for gamblers and it really is difficult to avoid the thought of well I can make so much more if I bet this much more. It is 100% true that money management is the most important aspect of sports betting. If you can’t do this well, you may get into serious financial trouble at worst, and less important but still relevant, you will not be able to beat the sports books constantly or over time without understanding which bets make sense by realizing how much to bet, which lines to bet and which matchups offer the highest win and payout percentages. Most hobby betters bet based on how much they can win in a bet, a handicapper or shark bets where they are getting the best odds for their money. Maybe they don’t even believe in the team to win, but if the value makes sense, they will wager on it because it makes sense financially. So an example is you have $2000 and want to bet on at most two games. The average person would tend to bet on as many outcomes as possible but in this case would take two teams and we will say standard line of -110. What has happened is that you have really damaged your chance of making a profit on this bet. This is due to beginning each matchup with a basic, implied odds of 52.38% which means you have this % chance to win one game. This comes from the line of -110 (if it was -100 or even odds, you would have a 50% chance to win) which converts to 1.91 decimal odds. You divide 1 (one bet) by the decimal % (1/1.91) and get 52.38%. So on two games, at -110, you will have 13/5 fractional odds (just an example here) to win or 2.6 decimal odds so you should divide 1 by 2.6 which gives you 38.46% implied odds to win both bets. What would the bets pay out? Win one at $1000 with -110 (1.91 decimal odds so 1.91*1000=payout) and you get $909.09 profit from the win and a total back of $1909.09 with your bet amount returned. So maybe you can see why 2 bets wouldn’t be a great investment. If not, here’s why. Say you win just 1 of the two matchups, you get the payout of $1909.09 so you have lost money on your bets for the day. And with only a 38% chance to win (usually will be a little less maybe a little more depending on the odds and line) both bets and taking $1818.18 in profits, you are not going to beat those percentages over time which is the only thing that matters to a professional bettor. Putting all of your money on one outcome offers the best chance to win and the same payout amount so obviously you are getting a better return on your money and will have a better chance to walk away with a profit at season’s end. So this is a very simplistic example and doesn’t take into account lines or the options of taking the points for an underdog with a decent positive moneyline. Just a rule to state here: never bet more than you can afford to lose or care about losing.

Yes, but only through online offshore sportsbooks. The way that they work is that you first use real money to make deposits on the site. This can be done through the use of a debit card, bank wire transfer, check, Bitcoin, or other financial means. Once the site receives your deposit you’ll be able to use those funds to place whatever kind of wager you’d like and if you win they will send your winnings back to you in the way that you choose.

There is a poker game you compete with machine called video poker. It could be a part of casino games though, interestingly just a handful of video poker that is Full Pay Deuce Wild Poker gives Player Edge 0.77%. Means you have the edge and you will make 0.77% profit average in long-term, the Positive EV. When you talk about the Poker Competition, it’s purely Skill based and this is the category where you can create Positive EV as long as you follow the mathematical logic. The below video from splitsuit.poker shows the EV concept application to Poker;


So this may have been long and a have little bit of unnecessary info, but I know this field and know what I do and make money doing it. I have lost before and my first profitable season came nearly 3 years into my betting “career”. I lost quite a bit those years but kept working and learning more and better techniques which were showing in my increasing winning percentages. I will still lose over certain sport seasons. I take losses in baseball and basketball the most but still have solid win % in both over 5 years. I may be cocky here, but I believe I won’t lose over a season of college football again. It’s my best sport and do study it more than the others. So if you enjoy the rush of seeing your hard work play out over a few hours or quarters, sports in general, the possibility of losing considerable money and the chance of building profits only dreamed of by traditional financial institution and investing; this may be for you.

There aren’t too many places where horse racing isn’t popular and doesn’t have enough liquidity for accepting bets and stakes. This sport has many showcase events such as the Triple Crown, Grand National, and the Melbourne Cup. The race tracks are always filled with spectators and millions of eyes are glued to television sets and live horse racing streams during these major events. Needless to say, the bookies love this and are eager for you to bet on this sport. Chances are there is a horse race happening right now. Punters can get in on the action almost any time of day all year round and the best horse racing betting sites are ready to greet you with everything you will need. Easy deposits and withdrawals, competitive odds, high betting limits, and live streaming are a few of the things that make the sports of kings more enjoyable. Let’s not forget about all those horse racing bonuses and promotions that are so easy to find. Money back 2nd or 3rd, free bets, and many other types of promotions give punters the edge they need to come out ahead when picking out their sport.
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You don’t need physical toughness but need strong mental discipline. Allow me to remind you of the importance of the “Character” we talked first. The real critical thing is Know Yourself and fostering the proper “Character”. As proven by numbers, you need only 57% win rate. Means you are allowed to loose 43%. However loosing in nearly half of betting can be quite tough experiences for some people, and feel intolerable. Pinnacle writer describes it Patience (as explained before Pinnacle is a must bookmaker for professional punters, so again strongly suggest see our Pinnacle full review). Thus quitting or do aggressive betting to recover loss quickly. That’s why we keep stressing that you should Know Your Level of Tolerance and develop proper “Character” to control the basic 1. – 4. points defined at the beginning. You need Character to ignore variance but focus on the long-term profit by believing mathematical advantage expressed in +EV.
Croatia and France - the final which, I am confident, no one outside of those two countries could have possibly imagined. Both teams have very much done enough to deserve to be here, though, and they set up to be a great finish to what has been an unpredictable and shockingly good tournament. It has been a wild ride from a betting perspective with so many favorites looking so undeserving of the respect that they were given. Read More >>
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