My picks have yielded a much higher risk adjusted return than the stock market. Obviously, the variance from season to season is formidable, but as anyone who had a significant amount invested in stocks or real estate in 2008 can tell you, such swings aren’t limited to sports. In the long run, my edge in what I do is far greater than the edge that you could hope to gain in any other speculative market.
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*For that kind of stuff, read the answer on bookmaker arbitrage that someone will no doubt write, presumably using several thousand fewer words than I have and including several more appealing sounding promises about the guaranteed money you’ll make. I’ve done that too, and it does work, but it’s not quite as easy as some people will have you believe and it’s hard to sustain it. You pays your money and you takes your choice.


Avoid falling into “square” tendencies such as buying favorites down or underdogs up. For example, some bettors always feel the need to buy an NFL favorite of -3.5 down to -2.5. The sportsbooks are smart enough to charge more juice to do this, mathematically making it a bad strategy. The same goes with buying an NFL underdog from +2.5 to +3.5 for example. In 99% of cases I would advise against it. Check out the video I made below about buying points on NFL underdogs.
It is somewhat irresponsible to pinpoint a moment in the Major League Baseball time-warp to state that the "save" morphed into something static. Rather transformed on a specific date in which one can etch in baseball stone.  But for the purpose of this MLB Futures article we will start years after the term save was used by general managers in the late 1950's. As well a time period after sports columnist Jerome Holtzman was the first to give specific criteria to saves in the early 1960's.
Consider a sport such as football for example. We can read game reports and study various statistics, and they can definitely tell us something about the strengths and weaknesses of the various teams and players. But watching the games tells us far more and helps us to form solid opinions about how these teams and players are performing. Those opinions are invaluable when it comes it to making predictions about future games.
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Cash Out. Cash Out lets you take profit early if your bet is coming in, or get some of your stake back if your bet is going against you—all before the event you’re betting on is over. Cash Out offers are made in real time on your current bets, based on live market prices. Whenever you are ready to Cash Out, simply hit the yellow button. Cash out is available on singles and multiples, on a wide range of sports, including American football, tennis, horse racing, basketball, and many more! You can Cash Out of bets pre-play, in-play, and between legs.[1]
He had two goals and an assist in Roma's 3-0 home win over CSKA Moscow two weeks ago, and a hat trick in a 5-0 home win over Viktoria Plzen in Matchweek 2. It's hard not to pick Dzeko here, even playing in Moscow. He didn't score in a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on Saturday, but still took six shots. And Dzeko scored eight goals in 12 Champions League games last season.
Serena Williams is the sport’s most dominant player. Going into the 2018 Wimbledon championships, Williams had won seven Wimbledon ladies’ singles titles and 23 Grand Slam singles championships. Even though she took off time in 2017 to have a baby and then suffered an injury in the French Open, she still was the pre-tournament betting favorite at Wimbledon this year. The overall odds looked like this:
All these competitions mean more to some teams than others, so before you start placing bets on Man City against a fifth division team in the FA Cup, be sure to check their lineup to see who is playing. For some teams, a FA Cup match may mean the world, but for a team like Man City who usually competes at the highest levels, it may hold much less significance.

Last 4 Premier League games have seen each team get a couple of wins with Chelsea Scoring 4 and City scoring 3 goals. It remains to be seen how both the tactically sound managers will set up their teams but expect Manchester City players and Manager to show that championship mentality and come up with a big, but close, result to sneak themselves to the top position on the table for one more week and push Chelsea out of the top-4.


Before you decide to buy picks, ask yourself: What is my sports betting budget (bankroll) and am I able to control it? If you are laying down $1 or $5 bets on a couple of games every week, then you certainly shouldn’t be spending more than that trying to get winning picks for even money. If you are placing small wagers like that, you will likely end up paying more for your picks than you will end up winning from those bets. Paying for picks is only worth it if you are going to end up winning more money than you paid for the picks in the first place.
The Thunder’s recent pointspread free-fall (1-9 ATS L10 games) has left them without much of a betting bandwagon; an elite level team that has legitimate ‘value’ potential moving forward.   The underdog has cashed winning bets in both previous meetings this season; a pair of ‘down to the wire’ finishes.  And make no mistake about it – this is ‘circle the wagons’ time for OKC following Paul George’s tirade against the refs after their loss to the Clippers on Friday.  Live dog here!  Take the Thunder.
Cricket has a massive fan base and there are games being played almost every day of the year so you can be sure that bookmakers pay special attention to this sport. Most of the world’s biggest names in online bookmaking ensure that they offer their customers as much cricket action as possible. The best cricket sportsbooks feature pre-match and in-play betting on any league game, international competition, or other major events. It is not uncommon for punters to have several dozen pre-game wagering options to choose from on any given match. Add in all the live betting choices, live streaming, and bonuses like the free bet at Betfred and you have yourself an awesome cricket betting experience.
Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
You're looking for 10-20 bets a week for something that runs almost the entire year? The answer is really MLB and nothing else. Large volume of games, long season, great for minimizing variance. Yes, tennis and soccer run for most of the year, but good luck trying to get a handle on all the different moving parts those markets entail (e.g., all the different leagues and countries in soccer, how would you even get to start focusing on something to be high volume?) to be able to squeeze out an edge as you are starting out. If you're used to modeling golf, getting into baseball shouldn't too too far of a stretch since a lot of the modeling is based on the individual level rather than the team.
While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and ‘quants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.

Spread betting are wagers that are made against the spread. The spread, or line, is a number assigned by the bookmakers which handicaps one team and favors another when two teams play each other and one is perceived as being more likely to win. The favorite "takes" points from the final score and the underdog "gives" points. This number can also be in increments of half-a-point (.5) even though very few sports have .5 point scoring (i.e., The Ryder Cup)
If you've ever said the phrase "I'm not a numbers guy but....", then you probably shouldn't be a betting guy either. While plenty of gamblers can make a success of it by betting on instinct and 'feel', to be successful long term you need a viable staking plan and you need to understand what the odds reflect in terms of probability. In short, its a numbers game, and you need an adequate relationship with division and multiplication as a minimum.
The DOJ ruling happened “at a very inopportune time” from MLB’s perspective, because some of the potential buyers of the networks “that probably would have been good for our sport” aren’t able to bid on them, Manfred said. He named AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq: CMCSA) as two examples. AT&T is in the process of a mega-merger of its own with Time Warner, while Comcast had recently completed a massive acquisition of U.K. media giant Sky.
Head-to-Head. In these bets, bettor predicts competitors results against each other and not on the overall result of the event. One example are Formula One races, where you bet on two or three drivers and their placement among the others. Sometimes you can also bet a “tie”, in which one or both drivers either have the same time, drop out, or get disqualified.
We’ve all been there. After a string of rough losses or a losing streak, there is a temptation for bettors to forgo their process and chase their losses. This, of course, only makes matters worse. Chasing your losses will put a serious dent in your long-term profits and may ultimately derail your sports betting career, especially if you wager more than your normal amount when you suffer a losing streak, in hopes of making back your money.
Betting on football matches is becoming more popular year on year, with a growing number of online bookmakers available to bet with. With football one of the world’s most popular sports, it is little surprise to see so much money is bet on the biggest games every day, with popular football betting markets including accumulators, both teams to score (BTTS) and goalscorer markets.
He had two goals and an assist in Roma's 3-0 home win over CSKA Moscow two weeks ago, and a hat trick in a 5-0 home win over Viktoria Plzen in Matchweek 2. It's hard not to pick Dzeko here, even playing in Moscow. He didn't score in a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on Saturday, but still took six shots. And Dzeko scored eight goals in 12 Champions League games last season.
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