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Let's get this out of the way up front - while the Round of 16 was a classic in terms of play on the field, it was far less classic for me from a betting perspective. It was a case of close but not close enough in most cases - and then I picked Spain, which didn't go well at all. Really, that has been the case for this entire World Cup - I've been mostly pointing in the right directions, but just not right enough to make a profit. But that changes now. We are going to destroy this quarterfinal round. It's fate. Or something. And we are going to be fearless about it and make a pick in each of the four games. Go big or go home. (All odds are from Bovada): Read More >>
Its very hard to win money in long term betting. I don't suggest you quit your day job to do this. There are people that do make money long term betting but I guarantee you that they are not hanging out right now on 2p2 reading this thread. Its VERY VERY hard. I honestly think it would be easier to become a surgeon than become a professional bettor.
The best part about sports betting is that you always have the potential to make some money. Regardless of the size of your bet, you always have the ability to win, which not only feels great but puts a little extra padding into your wallet. This money making does not have to stop with just making a few extra bucks here and there. A lot of people have trained themselves to become professional sports bettors. They have learned how to sift through stats with a keen eye for making correct picks. If you are good at predicting how games are decided, sports betting may be for you.
If you place two $100 bets, and you win, you’ll collect $440. You should consider leaving a tip around five percent of your winnings. Yes, that’s a $22 tip, but you just made a huge win, and surely you can spring for a twenty-spot for the guy who helped you win it. If you tip around the five percent mark regularly, when you win, you’re way more likely to get free drinks, which is about all you’re going to get comp-wise at the sportsbook.
Totalizators. In totalizators (sometimes called flexible-rate bets) the odds are changing in real-time according to the share of total exchange each of the possible outcomes have received taking into account the return rate of the bookmaker offering the bet. For example: If the bookmakers return percentage is 90%, 90% of the amount placed on the winning result will be given back to bettors and 10% goes to the bookmaker. Naturally the more money bet on a certain result, the smaller the odds on that outcome become. This is similar to parimutuel wagering in horse racing and dog racing.
Moskowitz has studied betting on a number of sports, including the National Football League, Major League Baseball, the National Hockey League, and the National Basketball Association. While betting on all of them exhibited behaviorally driven mispricing that created value and momentum effects, the size of those mispricing effects was only about one-fifth the size seen in financial markets. At that scale, they aren’t large enough to overcome the transaction cost of the bookmaker’s vig.
During the offseason of a specific sport, most bettors just switch gears and focus on the active sports. They figure they can just “catch up” on the offseason later. Meanwhile, if you are keeping up with daily happenings, personnel changes, prospect development, transactions, etc., on a year-round basis, you will have a huge advantage over the public (and maybe even some sportsbooks as well).

Other popular sports for betting that are NOT on this list include baseball, darts, rugby and horse racing. We didn’t include baseball because that doesn’t get a lot of betting attention outside of the United States. Darts doesn’t get much attention outside of the United Kingdom, and rugby is only popular in a few countries. Horse racing DOES get worldwide attention, but horse racing betting is typically categorized as its own unique form of gambling.


Injuries have convoluted and already complicated pair of rotations for the Jazz. The near-nothing bench of Utah is pedestrian as a whole. And the current roster has just seven players averaging 20-plus minutes per game. One of those seven that averages the 20-plus. The  club has two other injured that combine for nearly 30-minutes per game. Ricky Rubio is out to a hip injury. Dante Exum and Raul Neto aren't expected to contribute tonight with Neto (hamstring) out and Exum (ankle) questionable. 
Sports bettors place their wagers either legally, through a bookmaker/sportsbook, or illegally through privately run enterprises. The term "book" is a reference to the books used by wagebrokers to track wagers, payouts, and debts. Many legal sportsbooks are found online, operated over the Internet from jurisdictions separate from the clients they serve, usually to get around various gambling laws (such as the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 in the United States) in select markets, such as Las Vegas, Nevada, or on gambling cruises through self-serve kiosks. They take bets "up-front", meaning the bettor must pay the sportsbook before placing the bet. Illegal bookies, due to the nature of their business, can operate anywhere but only require money from losing bettors and don't require the wagered money up front, creating the possibility of debt to the bookie from the bettor. This creates a number of other criminal elements, thus furthering their illegality.
One of those is David “Vegas Dave” Oancea, who pled guilty in federal court in January for charges involving using phony Social Security numbers at Las Vegas casinos in transactions of more than $1.2 million. Oancea initially faced 19 felonies, but ultimately pled guilty to a misdemeanor charge by admitting to causing violations of record keeping and procedures.
You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.
When Roma and FC Porto clash at the Olimpico in Rome, it will mark the second time in three seasons that these two football clubs have played. The first meeting took place in the 2016-17 season when both Roma and Porto had to qualify for the Champions' League group stage, thanks to poor seasons the year prior. Porto got the better of the Italian club, and they progressed 4-1 on aggregate over two legs. Read More >>
When Roma and FC Porto clash at the Olimpico in Rome, it will mark the second time in three seasons that these two football clubs have played. The first meeting took place in the 2016-17 season when both Roma and Porto had to qualify for the Champions' League group stage, thanks to poor seasons the year prior. Porto got the better of the Italian club, and they progressed 4-1 on aggregate over two legs. Read More >>
Our team of experts help to increase your chances of winning, delivering comprehensive previews – including form guides, the latest team news, up-to-date odds, recommended bets and predictions – on the biggest games worldwide. FootballExpert covers the ‘big five’ – delivering betting previews for the English Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1 – as well as the likes of the Scottish Premiership, Major League Soccer, club friendlies and the biggest international tournaments.
This gives you better insight on the winning rate. You really have to locate the good Value Bets of which true value is different from the actual odds the bookmakers set, otherwise you can’t beat the bookies’ odds. It’s not impossible for anybody assuming you go full time with it. However even by doing so it takes a long time to develop your edge over the bookmakers in data collection, analysis, acute insight on the specialized sports category. All of these may take years and you may lose a lot before you acquire those expertise.
Sports betting should be a little different in every region and in every state. Football may always be the most popular sport for gamblers but basketball could be a little more popular on the east coast than Nevada. In addition to regional preferences, Atlantic City and much of southern New Jersey is considered a sports suburb for Philadelphia sports teams. TV’s are always turned into 76ers, Phillies, Eagles, and Flyers games.

Before committing any real money, the researchers tested the idea on 10 years of historical data on the closing odds and results of 479,440 soccer games played between 2005 and 2015. This simulation paid out 44 percent of the time and delivered a yield of 3.5 percent over the 10-year period. “For an imaginary stake of $50 per bet, this corresponds to an equivalent profit of $98,865 across 56,435 bets,” they say.
The oddsmakers have come up short in our opinion on this total as they have this at 6 it should be set at 6 1/2 all day long. As we have all year in the NHL, we will take advantage of this mistake. Carolina are playing their third game in 4 nights and now have to play in the altitude of Denver. It will be tough for the Hurricanes to play a solid defensive game tonight. In fact, Carolina has not been playing much defense at all lately allowing an average of five goals a game in their last 3 games. The total has gone OVER today’s posted total in 7 out of the last 8 Carolina games. As for Colorado, they always play much better at home and also score more at home. In their past 5 home games, they have averaged 4 goals per game. With both clubs fighting for a playoff spot you will see both clubs going all out for the victory tonight and pushing the total over 6. The fact that the Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Denver just solidifies our selection. So lets get the job done with the Carolina/Colorado game OVER 6 as your free play for today.
In a different study released by FDU’s PublicMind in October 2011, results showed that New Jersey voters thought legalizing sports betting in New Jersey was a good idea. Half of New Jersey voters (52%) said that they approved the idea of legalizing sports betting at Atlantic City casinos and racetracks, 31% opposed it. In addition, there was a significant gender split: a majority of men approved of the idea by a wide margin (65-21), while only 39% of women approved and 41% opposed.[9] The October results were stable, reflecting an earlier poll in April 2011 where New Jersey voters approved the legalization of sports betting in the state by a margin of 53%-30%. However, nearly two-thirds (66%) of voters were not aware of the upcoming statewide referendum on the issue. Age proved to be a divide: voters between the ages 18 and 34 were more likely to approve of sports betting than were older voters. Dr. Woolley commented: "But... younger voters... are far less likely to vote than other voters... As always, a lot depends on who actually shows up to vote."[10]
Let me put what we have reviewed in this way; The bookmakers have edge of built-in margin but unlike casino where pure mathematics governs, the sports betting is pretty much skill oriented game thus successful Software / Tipsters (Handicappers) / Systems turn their edge into ours. They can identify a True Value Bet in the form of UNDER-ROUND in the selected sports category where they have absolute skill edge. These will result in Positive EV (Expected Value) that’s a mathematical formula to allow you achieve average long-term profit. This +EV will be translated into the additional winning rate to 57%. For further details of EV and its rationale, you may want to read the one I introduced at the beginning, especially Value Bet section;
If boxing was a chess tournament, Mikey Garcia would be the grandmaster. He's never fought at 147lbs before and he's only had two fights at 140lb. Hell, just eight fights ago he was fighting for the featherweight title! Yet of all the fights on offer for him at lightweight and super-lightweight (most notably Lomachenko), Mikey decided to jump up two weight divisions to challenge one of the most feared punchers in the sport today, and the man many consider to be the best welterweight on the planet.
Searching for such underrated odds is the strategy that promises a long-term success! Of course it does not mean that you will keep winning every time you bet on such underrated event. Sometimes you will win, sometimes you will lose, but if you bet in this way (positive expected value) then, in a long enough period, your balance will be profitable.
Those that want to bet on baseball throughout the year will be thrilled to know that the Australian Baseball League runs from November through February and it is available for betting at some online sportsbooks such as Betfair. You can also catch the live streaming ABL action and place in-play wagers at 888. That means that punters can get enough baseball bets almost all year round. Even better is the fact that so many bookies hit it out of the park with a large selection of baseball bonuses and promotions such as reduced juice and money back bets.
Edit My Bet. The ‘edit bet’ feature can be used by gamblers to ‘unsettle straight accumulators’ before matches have started or whilst they are in-play. The feature can also be used for to swap single bets for new bets, and the gambler is given a new bet selection valued at the bookie's cash out price to reflect live market/game odds for the original bet.[1]
Where you see “Total O/U” (sometimes called totals betting), this is the amount won on OVER or UNDER picks. For Lega Serie A, the OVER/UNDER is anything that will affect the outcome of the match like injuries (real injuries that occur prior to a game), weather conditions (heat and wind will play major factors in the game’s outcome), and how good or bad each club is offensively and defensively. 
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