If you’re a big fan of your local teams, it’s likely that you know them better than most other teams. There’s plenty of value with having a deep knowledge of specific teams. You’re simply going to have a much better bead on how teams you follow closely will play compared to others. Occasionally, this means betting on your favorite teams, other teams it means betting against them. There’s no room for personal bias or favoritism if you’re serious about making money betting on your favorite sports.
For the World Cup final match on Sunday, when Croatia will face France, the French are strong favorites. At the online bookmaker bet365 on Friday, it cost you 250 to win 100 on a French victory, while you had to risk only 100 to win 200 on Croatia. I left out the dollar signs on those odds because they can’t take Americans’ bets. The difference of 50 in the payoffs is the sports-bookmaker’s “vigorish,” which corresponds to the spread between Buy and Sell quotes that provide the profit for market makers in our financial markets.
Although betting while sober seems like common sense, you’d be surprised how many people bet on sports under the influence. Is it a coincidence that the Las Vegas casinos offer free alcoholic drinks while you are gambling? I don’t think so. I don’t want to sound like your mother here, but betting while under the influence will impair your judgement and should definitely be avoided if you want to become a winning sports bettor.
It doesn’t matter if you consider darts a sport or a leisure activity. It is quite popular and more and more people find it easier to bet on. One might be inclined to think that darts is a niche market that many bookies don’t take bets on but that would be a mistake. This game is a staple at all of the world’s leading sportsbooks and there are so many darts events throughout the year that punters can place pre-game and live bets almost any time. The best darts betting sites usually have a promotion or two that is geared towards darts bettors. Many of these bookies provide live streaming coverage, betting tips, and other helpful information. These same bookies give punters an excellent selection of payment methods to choose from and they take pride in offering fast payouts.
When Lyon and Barcelona clash on Tuesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, it will be just the first meeting between these two soccer clubs since 2009. Barcelona holds the head to head advantage, winning four of the six Champions League fixture and will likely add to that total once again this year. Barcelona topped Group B with 14 points (W4, D2) while turning in a +9-goal differential. Read More >>
As a solution I decided to create Sporita, my vision was to create an app that is easy to use and contains each and every possible piece of data from across all major football leagues and competitions. Our self learning algorithm predicts the outcome of football matches by combining a wide range of information such as formations and tactics, team and individual statistics, the coach factor, game day weather and much, much more.
One of those close calls came in a loss at Monmouth by a mere 2-points. That doesn't concern me here, as the Iona won the first meeting 103-84 at home. That fact that they lost the most recent matchup is actually a positive. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 122-67 (65%) ATS going all the way back to 1997.
In November 2014, a poll found that there had been a major shift in attitudes towards sports betting in the United States, showing that 55% of Americans now favored legal sports betting, while 66% of respondents agreed that this should be regulated by state laws, as opposed to federal legislation. The poll also suggested that 33% of respondents disagreed with the notion of legalization.
Before deciding if you should pay for picks, you should determine your betting style. Determining your betting style will let you know if you need to pay an expert for your picks. Are you the type of bettor that likes to crunch a ton of numbers, sift through all the trends and get all the relevant team news on coaches, players, injuries, and off-field transgressions? Do you understand line movements and how to manage your money to ensure you get a maximum return on investment (ROI) from sports betting? If so, then buying picks doesn’t make sense since you’ll be basically paying for a professional handicapper to tell you what you already know. On the other hand, if you’re the type of bettor that doesn’t follow trends or wants to deal with line movements, then purchasing picks could be what takes you from being a betting novice to a pro sports wagerist. Or, and let’s face it, some people simply don’t have the time to look at every stat and break down every game. Why not get an expert’s opinion to help you out?
Odds are, if you are sports bettor, or just a sports fan who makes occasional bets, you’ve seen ads promoting the handicapper who always win and never loses. These ads are found across the internet from professional handicappers offering you their winning picks for a promotional price. But, is it really worth it to fork out a few bucks for what you hope will be picks that translate to winning bets?
**This is pretty long and covers your question and betting sports as a full-time endeavor. I bet year-round but don’t know if I would term myself a professional sports bettor and don’t have the bankroll to ever be a “shark” but I know the industry and the sports inside and out and put in considerable amounts towards each season. If you want to see what work goes into this and not just a numbers explanation (means nothing to someone who isn’t betting full-time and isn’t useful for someone who is because they already know) read it and let me know if you have any questions.**
One of those is David “Vegas Dave” Oancea, who pled guilty in federal court in January for charges involving using phony Social Security numbers at Las Vegas casinos in transactions of more than $1.2 million. Oancea initially faced 19 felonies, but ultimately pled guilty to a misdemeanor charge by admitting to causing violations of record keeping and procedures.
Anything I can make guaranteed profit on. It is a Catch 22 though. The bigger leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) have more people wagering on them, so the odds of finding lines that differ between sports books is tougher. This is because the betting line only moves when too many people are wagering on 1 side. A $100 will have little to no impact on a Super Bowl line that already has millions in the pot. As long as Vegas has close to equal action on each side, they profit every time. The lesser known sports, have less money wagered on each game, so it's easier to spot vastly different lines between different sports books.
If you had $20,000 that you could comfortably afford to risk as your sports wagering bankroll and $3,295 went to pay for the all Football and all Basketball service, then you would have $16,705 left for wagering. As explained above the expected return on the combined Dr Bob Football and Basketball and NBA Guru Basketball services is +68.0% per year (using a less optimal flat betting approach), which would result in a return wagering profit of +$11,359 on the $16,705 initial bankroll. The overall profit, after factoring in the cost of the services, would be $8,064 (($16,705 x 0.68) – $3,295 = +$8,064), which is a very good 40.3% expected return on your $20,000. That percentage return is higher for higher bankrolls and lower for lower bankrolls since the cost of service becomes a smaller percentage of higher bankrolls and a higher percentage of smaller bankrolls. If you want to subscribe to the all Football and all Basketball package you would need a total of at least $4,846 to invest to expect a positive return after factoring in the cost of the service. The calculations above are based on expected results based on long term records and some years are better and some years are worse.
When looking over a lot of college football betting predictions, it’s clear to see that the future might not be etched in stone for the Big 12. Some sports commentators and analysts covering college football spread picks said the Big 12 was unfixable. Well, 2 weeks ago, that statement may have been reasonable, but as of today, there is still ... Read More »
When Roma and FC Porto clash at the Olimpico in Rome, it will mark the second time in three seasons that these two football clubs have played. The first meeting took place in the 2016-17 season when both Roma and Porto had to qualify for the Champions' League group stage, thanks to poor seasons the year prior. Porto got the better of the Italian club, and they progressed 4-1 on aggregate over two legs. Read More >>
This is a Free NBA play on the LA Clippers. A week ago the Boston Celtics were in Houston, losing by a score of 115-104 to the Rockets. It marked a seventh loss in a 10 game span, and Kyrie Irving wasn't exactly complimentary of his teammates after the game. “We just weren’t covering up for one another consistently enough,” Irving said. “That’s really what it comes down to.” So now just seven days later, the Celtics are coming off three straight wins. As impressive as it was to beat the Warriors at Oracle Arena, you could say that proves they are as good as Phoenix, as the Suns won in Oakland on Sunday. They followed that up with wins over the Kings and the Lakers. Now they've had two nights off in LA, and they play the Clippers on Monday in the final game of this road trip. This looks like a trouble spot for a team that might still have plenty of issues. The Clippers might not have a BIG3, in fact they don't even have one real superstar player. They do have a solid team though and they are on the verge of clinching a playoff spot in the West. LA has won seven of their last nine overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Celtics. Take LAC. GL,
Major League Baseball is the first thing that many people think about when discussing this very tempting sport when in comes to betting. However, there are many more professional baseball leagues and competitions to profit easily from and the best baseball betting sites cover all of them. Punters aren’t limited to betting on baseball between March and October (a crucial factor when choosing your best sport to bet) – they aren’t limited to betting only on MLB during this time. Other professional leagues in places like Korea and Japan are also in full swing at the same time which means more betting action for bettors who choose to make bets on baseball.
Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.
Most sports bettors know just enough to make them dangerous. There is a great difference between being knowledgeable in the NFL and NFL betting. Being able to name the starting offensive line for the Cowboys is not likely to help a person win a bet. What many sports bettors do not realize is they are competing against other bettors who spend countless hours on handicapping, studying trends, injuries, and betting angles. If you fail to study the games, find somebody who does it for a living. A reputable sports service is skilled with sports betting professionals.
Serena Williams is the sport’s most dominant player. Going into the 2018 Wimbledon championships, Williams had won seven Wimbledon ladies’ singles titles and 23 Grand Slam singles championships. Even though she took off time in 2017 to have a baby and then suffered an injury in the French Open, she still was the pre-tournament betting favorite at Wimbledon this year. The overall odds looked like this:
Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days! She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
The NBA might be the most prestigious and popular basketball league in the world but it certainly isn’t the only one. Professional basketball leagues thrive all over the world and the best basketball bookmakers make sure that they offer as many of them as possible. Be it one of the many European leagues, Asian leagues, or African leagues, bookies pull out all the stops to satisfy the growing number of fans. Punters really love the competitive odds, live streaming, in-play betting, and the plethora of dedicated promotions the basketball betting fans get. There are several bookies that offer a wide variety of markets, easy payment methods, and fast payouts.
Pennsylvania approved a sports betting law in October 2017 and had regulations for sports betting in place in August 2018. The state approved the first sports betting licenses for Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course and Parx Casino on October 3, 2018. On November 15, 2018, sports betting began at Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course with a two-day test; official sports betting began on November 17, 2018. Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course became the first casino in Pennsylvania to offer sports betting. Pennsylvania became the seventh state to offer sports betting.
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
"Romo has started two games after making his first 588 career appearances as a reliever. But he was doing so on consecutive days, with the express purpose of clearing the top of the Angels’ lineup before making way for pitchers—normally starters—who would give Tampa Bay more innings. Romo was technically starting, but not in the traditional sense of the term. He was opening—the games, and, perhaps, a futuristic path to ordering a pitching staff" Ray stated.
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Then, where should we place Sports Betting? Some of you may have noticed that, the fundamental difference between Lottery / Casino and Equity / Fixed Income is whether you are controlled by house or not. Lottery & Casino is Zero Sum game and the winning rate is controlled by the organizer or house. If you compete with the house under such circumstance it’s impossible to win in long-term. On the other hand, Equity / Fixed Income is not Zero Sum but as long as the underlying products perform well you can win endlessly. When it comes to Sports Betting, there are Bookmakers . We compete with them in Zero Sum world and off-course they have built-in margin called Over-round (or Vigorish or Juice), which is up to 10%. Means, theoretically you will lose this % long-term, then it can be positioned between Casino and Equity. However, bear it in mind that Casino is basically governed by law of probability (when you throw dice, the probability of 1 is always 1/6) but Sports Betting is largely governed by Skill (nobody can accurately predict the Barcelona’s next win % against Real Madrid). For this particular points, you may want to see Beat Bookmakers Nicely By Knowing How They Make Money ;
It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front $10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
DOC'S SPORTS is bringing in the same soccer handicapper that released plays in the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Euro Championship. Doc's showed a massive profit in the 2016 Euros, banking over +$5,000 in the one-month tournament while going 8-1 on top plays. They expect similar production at this summer's biggest sporting event and you don't want be left out of this winning.