Touts often claim to be able to hit 60% or higher, but as I explain in my essay on Bayesian Probability, anyone who tells you that their long term expected winning percentage is higher than 60% is deluding themselves. Ten or more years ago a sharp handicapper could win about 60% long term but those days are over, as odds makers have become more savvy in the past decade or so. For a bettor to claim a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage, that would be mean that Vegas would have to consistently release lines with egregious errors, and that simply just does not happen often enough nowadays for claims of a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage. Any short term win rates of around 60% or higher are simply due to blind, short-term luck. For instance, last year (2016) in the first season using a new NFL play-by-play model, Dr. Bob Sports’ NFL Best Bet sides were an incredible 66-26 (71.7%), but that record was enhanced by winning a very large percentage of close games (31-12 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or less) rather than splitting the close ones. It still would have been a great season on NFL Best Bet sides (62%) if the close games had been 50% but I still can’t expect the new model to win 60%-plus on sides based on that one season – although the play-by-play model back-tested at a very profitable 56% winners.


“We couldn’t be more excited to work with one of the world’s largest gaming and entertainment companies,” said Renie Anderson, senior vice president, NFL partnerships, sponsorship and consumer products. “Combining the NFL with Caesars’ expertise in world-class entertainment will provide our fans unique experiences both here in the United States and abroad.”
It‘s amazing that many of us run or work within successful businesses backed by good ethics and a sound money management theory, but refuse to use these same techniques when it comes to sports betting money management. Would you bet 25 percent of your retirement fund on a single stock that had a 40 percent chance of going in the tank tomorrow? Would you invest in a real estate development under the same scenario? Nobody would do either of these propositions, yet many people are willing to bet 20 to 30 percent of their betting resources a single game. The books know that most of us lack discipline and that greed, sooner or later, will get the best of the gambler and that some early returns for the bettor will likely eventually swing to big profits for the bookmaker.

The global gross gaming/gambling yield amounts to more than 400 billion U.S. dollars each year. Gross win from gambling represents the amount of money the gambling operation keeps from the customer’s stakes, wagers, bets etc. less the winning paid out to the customer and before deducting operating expenses. With about one third of the global gambling gross win, Asia is the biggest market for gambling and sports betting in particular. Probably the fastest growing segment of the industry is the online / interactive category, as the global online gambling market has grown at a consistent rate over the last few years from around 20 billion U.S. dollars in 2009 to more than 40 billion U.S. dollars by 2016. 

Before getting into the subject, allow me to stress that although we have used the word gambling, or how to win money gambling several times in this report, we actually never gamble which we define “Count On Chance”. Our aim of playing Sports Betting is to create solid Extra Money based on 6 Advantage Plays by making the best use of mathematical edge to beat the bookies, casino & bingo. When it comes to Sports Betting, we use Matched Betting / Sports Arbitrage / Value Bets On Proven Tipsters to lock-in profit or consistently earn extra income for long-term.
Everyone has an opinion on sports in today’s world. There are not only a dozen shows on ESPN and other networks discussing the same topics over and over, but there are thousands of blogs and radio stations also adding their own opinions. It’s fine to watch and read these outlets for entertainment or news purposes, but not for betting advice. The talking heads may seem confident with their opinions, but remember, their job is to increase ratings and spark controversy.

Many times you and a group of friends can get overly competitive when it comes to sports, and this may lead to forming sports pools. Folks should know that this is a completely safe form of legal sports betting. As long as the commissioner or the person handling the pot doesn’t get a cut of the winnings, and you don’t advertise the public to join, you should be well within your legal grounds to form such a pool. Offshore sports betting sites also have great referral programs and contests that you and a friend can join.


The handicapping and odds information (both sports and entertainment) found on SportsBettingDime.com is strictly for entertainment purposes. Furthermore, the unique odds we produce in select news articles are also for amusement, and are not available to be wagered on. We are not a sportsbook and do not take any wagers. We do not endorse illegal online gambling. Before placing any wagers with any of the links advertising betting sites, please check the online gambling regulations in your jurisdiction, as they do vary. SportsBettingDime.com does not target any individuals under the age of 18. Using any of the information found at SportsBettingDime.com to violate any law or statute is prohibited. SportsBettingDime.com is not supported by or linked to any professional, college or university league, association, or team. For further guidelines please visit our responsible online gambling page. Terms & Conditions apply to all bonus offers advertised. Please visit sportsbook operators for details.
If you’ve never heard of eSports, chances are you’re closer to your 40s than your teens. These are electronic sports, essentially competitive video gaming. Sportsbooks in Nevada recently got the OK to take bets on eSports, which are extremely popular with young people. They’re also lucrative. Top professional video gamers can make more than $1 million per year playing games such as League of Legends, Rocket League or Call of Duty (among hundreds).
Spread betting are wagers that are made against the spread. The spread, or line, is a number assigned by the bookmakers which handicaps one team and favors another when two teams play each other and one is perceived as being more likely to win. The favorite "takes" points from the final score and the underdog "gives" points. This number can also be in increments of half-a-point (.5) even though very few sports have .5 point scoring (i.e., The Ryder Cup)
When you combine the number of opportunities to make good bets with the fact that baseball is mostly a moneyline betting sports, thanks to its low-scoring games, the odds for the bettor only increase. Betting against spreads is much harder to predict and analyze for value, but choosing a winner is more straightforward, and it’s easier to gain an edge and make solid bets.
I don’t believe that the term ‘gambling’ applies to what I do. I sell information to subscribers, with which they can take positive expectation positions in uncertain markets. With correct financial optimization and bankroll management, long term risks are nominal compared to the risks of investing in other, more conventional markets. Just as a single stock may go up or down in a day, any one team may win or lose a given game. But as long as the investor maintains a long-term perspective, understands variance, and doesn’t over-extend themselves or bet more than they can easily handle, risk can be highly mitigated, and they can earn a very attractive risk adjusted return.
As the baseball season moves through June, July and August, it’s time to prep for the NFL and college football. In September, you’re getting ready for the NBA, NHL, and college basketball. All of a sudden, football is being played again. By the way, at one point football, basketball, hockey, and baseball are all being played. It’s a crazy time to bet.
DOC'S SPORTS is bringing in the same soccer handicapper that released plays in the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Euro Championship. Doc's showed a massive profit in the 2016 Euros, banking over +$5,000 in the one-month tournament while going 8-1 on top plays. They expect similar production at this summer's biggest sporting event and you don't want be left out of this winning.
Each better must know his limits and choose the sport, competition and region accordingly. Information is vital – the more you know about the sport, the better for you. The information sources are the Internet, watching TV, participation on the matches etc. Betting according to the actual ranking such as "the third team plays the one but last team" is certainly insufficient.
During the offseason of a specific sport, most bettors just switch gears and focus on the active sports. They figure they can just “catch up” on the offseason later. Meanwhile, if you are keeping up with daily happenings, personnel changes, prospect development, transactions, etc., on a year-round basis, you will have a huge advantage over the public (and maybe even some sportsbooks as well).
Betting is for degenerates in general. So what happens a lot is that you lose and you try to cover your losses and you double it up and lose even more. Eventually you go on a 8-10 game winning streak, down 15K and ****ting bricks inside your stomach. So I highly do not recommend betting as a long term strategy in life. My philosophy is go to work every day at 9AM and you should be solid in life.
So this may have been long and a have little bit of unnecessary info, but I know this field and know what I do and make money doing it. I have lost before and my first profitable season came nearly 3 years into my betting “career”. I lost quite a bit those years but kept working and learning more and better techniques which were showing in my increasing winning percentages. I will still lose over certain sport seasons. I take losses in baseball and basketball the most but still have solid win % in both over 5 years. I may be cocky here, but I believe I won’t lose over a season of college football again. It’s my best sport and do study it more than the others. So if you enjoy the rush of seeing your hard work play out over a few hours or quarters, sports in general, the possibility of losing considerable money and the chance of building profits only dreamed of by traditional financial institution and investing; this may be for you.
Before deciding if you should pay for picks, you should determine your betting style. Determining your betting style will let you know if you need to pay an expert for your picks. Are you the type of bettor that likes to crunch a ton of numbers, sift through all the trends and get all the relevant team news on coaches, players, injuries, and off-field transgressions? Do you understand line movements and how to manage your money to ensure you get a maximum return on investment (ROI) from sports betting? If so, then buying picks doesn’t make sense since you’ll be basically paying for a professional handicapper to tell you what you already know. On the other hand, if you’re the type of bettor that doesn’t follow trends or wants to deal with line movements, then purchasing picks could be what takes you from being a betting novice to a pro sports wagerist. Or, and let’s face it, some people simply don’t have the time to look at every stat and break down every game. Why not get an expert’s opinion to help you out?
Let's get this out of the way up front - while the Round of 16 was a classic in terms of play on the field, it was far less classic for me from a betting perspective. It was a case of close but not close enough in most cases - and then I picked Spain, which didn't go well at all. Really, that has been the case for this entire World Cup - I've been mostly pointing in the right directions, but just not right enough to make a profit. But that changes now. We are going to destroy this quarterfinal round. It's fate. Or something. And we are going to be fearless about it and make a pick in each of the four games. Go big or go home. (All odds are from Bovada): Read More >>

The application process is far from just providing standard information. Many applications have been rejected with about 10% being approved. The application process is an attempt to secure very personal and private information about the applicant and any investor willing to endure such scrutiny and invasion of privacy. This would include a background check, source of funds invested and other customer data which is given to a sports book willing to accept the entity betting. In other words, a lot of red tape. If any prospective investors are not dismayed by the application process, there are other alarming issues to confront.
When looking over a lot of college football betting predictions, it’s clear to see that the future might not be etched in stone for the Big 12. Some sports commentators and analysts covering college football spread picks said the Big 12 was unfixable. Well, 2 weeks ago, that statement may have been reasonable, but as of today, there is still ... Read More »
Filling out a bracket is just one way to bet on the outcome of the French Open grand slam but online tennis betting offers plenty of more options, including betting on each tennis match outcome, lots of futures and proposition bets. Don’t miss reading our guide on how to bet on tennis online. Keep in mind that betting online is perfectly legal under U.S. federal law. Signing up at an online betting site to bet on the 2019 French Open grand slam will also net you a generous welcome signup deposit bonus from our trusted betting sites.
“It’s not too dissimilar from the type of trading that you guys cover,” Kip Levin told me on Thursday. He runs the company’s U.S. operations. Paddy Power Betfair just completed a merger of its U.S. unit with the daily fantasy sports website operator FanDuel in the hope that fantasy sports will give it a smooth segue into betting on real sporting events.

The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.
You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.
The best part about sports betting is that you always have the potential to make some money. Regardless of the size of your bet, you always have the ability to win, which not only feels great but puts a little extra padding into your wallet. This money making does not have to stop with just making a few extra bucks here and there. A lot of people have trained themselves to become professional sports bettors. They have learned how to sift through stats with a keen eye for making correct picks. If you are good at predicting how games are decided, sports betting may be for you.

The easiest way to demonstrate the math behind a sports bet is to make up an example. Let’s say you and your buddy walk into a casino, each with $200 burning a hole in your pocket. There’s a big game on tonight, the Cowboys and the Redskins, so you wander into the sportsbook to check up on the latest news about the game. While you’re sitting there, you see the wagering board, with some funny numbers on it. It looks like this:


“I think they will all participate and would be shocked if they didn’t,” Pennsylvania Rep. Robert Matzie told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette earlier this month. “In sports-crazy Pittsburgh and sports-crazy Philadelphia, you’re going to see it bring a lot more people into the casino, watching the big-screen TVs, and when they get those people in the door to bet they’ll also hopefully drop money at the tables or in the slots.”
This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
While the National Basketball Association (NBA) was once active in preventing sports betting law relaxation, current NBA Commissioner Adam Silver became the first major sports leader to break from previous administrative opposition to gambling. In 2014 he stated in a New York Times op-ed, "I believe that sports betting should be brought out of the underground and into the sunlight where it can be appropriately monitored and regulated."[44] In 2017, with support for legalization growing, he confirmed his belief that "legalized sports betting is inevitable".[45]
A basketball season with 53.5% winners (my career percentage is 53.9%) on 500 bets would on average yield +11.75 units ( (500*.535) – (500*.465)*1.1 ), or +23.5 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars. Using a conservative 1.6% of bankroll per bet (full Kelly at 53.5% at -110 odds is 2.35% of bankroll), or 0.8% per Star, results in an expected return of 18.8%. So, despite a lower overall winning percentage and smaller average wager size, a season’s worth of basketball wagers is fairly comparable to a season of football because there are so many more Best Bets in basketball season.

Sports betting mistakes might happen even to the most experienced bettors. However, common mistakes are easy to prevent. At Safest Betting Sites, we offer bettors a large resource of betting strategy. Even with all this material, it’s easier for bettors to fall back into poor habits and sabotage themselves by making poor decisions. Below are some of the biggest mistakes and pitfalls losing bettors make and how to avoid them.
Perhaps you’ve heard of the Super Bowl? If not then you should know that it is one of the biggest annual betting events. American football is like a religion in North America. It hasn’t been as globally accepted as other sports but its popularity is growing. The NFL is the most well-known American football league there is but NCAA college football, the Canadian Football League, and a couple other smaller leagues have large followings and bookmakers take a lot of bets on them, so you will never run out of markets to bet. A fresh list of betting lines is usually up every Sunday night during football season and punters can’t wait to get their bets in.
For sports bettors, the vig is more expensive than the spreads on a typical Wall Street stock trade. But the growth of online betting—mostly illegal in the U.S.—has started to shrink the vig below 10% in some places, which should eventually make betting a better deal for bettors. That’s what you’d expect, says Toby Moskowitz, a professor of finance at the Yale School of Management and one of the principals with the $226 billion hedge fund manager AQR Capital Management.
Then the playoffs begin! We’re prepping for the season by researching for our upcoming series of team, division, and league previews, which will be published during spring training, and offering insights into the upcoming season with various articles such as our recent piece on five of the top starting pitchers on which you may want to bet in 2018.

Two Eastern Conference teams fighting to remain in the thick of the postseason bracket square off tonight at Barclays Center. Detroit is in Brooklyn for a 7:30 p.m. ET Monday night affair. The Pistons have surpassed Brooklyn in the East playoff standings off an impressive 131-108 rout of the Chicago Bulls on Sunday. was the fifth straight victory for the Pistons and their 12th in the last 14 games. Brooklyn has done their best to keep pace with Detroit winning three straight.
Many times you and a group of friends can get overly competitive when it comes to sports, and this may lead to forming sports pools. Folks should know that this is a completely safe form of legal sports betting. As long as the commissioner or the person handling the pot doesn’t get a cut of the winnings, and you don’t advertise the public to join, you should be well within your legal grounds to form such a pool. Offshore sports betting sites also have great referral programs and contests that you and a friend can join.

The answer to this question actually depends to some extent on what part of the world we’re talking about. There are certain sports that are popular in some regions, but not so popular in others. However, there are a few sports that are popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, the following sports definitely rank the highest.


We’re not saying to just make a decision without putting any thought into it. Take everything we said into consideration, but don’t stress out. All that really matters is that you enjoy yourself, and gamble responsibly with money you can afford to lose. It makes sense to start by focusing on any sports you already follow, but don’t be afraid to try out others at some point. If you don’t follow any sports, start with the popular ones and see how it goes from there. Once you get a hang of it, you might want to try a couple of the more obscure sports.
Horse race betting is usually an activity tied to the Southeast, but Arizona is no stranger when it comes to hosting great races. Residents can place their wagers at tracks such as Turf Paradise Race Course, Rillito Downs Park Racetrack, and Yavapai Downs Racecourse. But, for those looking for a more convenient way to place wagers, they’ll be happy to know that they can do so with the same sports betting sites we’ve previously recommended. Bovada, SportsBetting, BetOnline, and 5Dimes each come with a state of the art online racebook. There also promotions and bonuses for using their racebook which may give you an edge the next time you want to bet on your favorite pony.
When Roma and FC Porto clash at the Olimpico in Rome, it will mark the second time in three seasons that these two football clubs have played. The first meeting took place in the 2016-17 season when both Roma and Porto had to qualify for the Champions' League group stage, thanks to poor seasons the year prior. Porto got the better of the Italian club, and they progressed 4-1 on aggregate over two legs. Read More >>
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