In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”

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What about financial products which are usually perceived as investment such as Equity (Stock) or Bond (Fixed Income)? Annual Returns on Stock, T.Bonds and T.Bills: 1928 – Current shows S&P 500 (US Stock Index) average is 11.41% while 10 year T-Bond is 5.23%. However, when it comes to the standard deviation (fluctuation of return), off course Stock is much higher. According to CFA Digest, stocks are about 3 times more volatile than bonds on average. Means the certainty of outcome in Positive return of Fixed Income is surely higher than Stock. The below chart is just giving you how the magnitude of the difference of volatility between these 2 assets class are (sourced from Market Realist);
If boxing was a chess tournament, Mikey Garcia would be the grandmaster. He's never fought at 147lbs before and he's only had two fights at 140lb. Hell, just eight fights ago he was fighting for the featherweight title! Yet of all the fights on offer for him at lightweight and super-lightweight (most notably Lomachenko), Mikey decided to jump up two weight divisions to challenge one of the most feared punchers in the sport today, and the man many consider to be the best welterweight on the planet.

On December 7, 1980 the San Francisco 49ers overcame a halftime deficit of 28 points in what became the greatest regular season comeback victory in NFL regular season history. By the beginning of the third quarter, notorious Vegas bookmaker Frank Rosenthal received forfeiture notices from 246 San Francisco bettors totaling more than $25,000 in premature winnings. Rosenthal was able to retain these winnings despite the final outcome of the game due to gambling regulations previously established by the NAGRA.[citation needed]
Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.

Basketball has strong roots on the east coast and the NBA is one of the most popular professional sports leagues in America. All basketball (including college hoops) is second to the NFL in handle in Nevada sports betting. While the two states may not be apples to apples, the potential for basketball betting revenue in New Jersey can’t be overlooked.
Filling out a bracket is just one way to bet on the outcome of the French Open grand slam but online tennis betting offers plenty of more options, including betting on each tennis match outcome, lots of futures and proposition bets. Don’t miss reading our guide on how to bet on tennis online. Keep in mind that betting online is perfectly legal under U.S. federal law. Signing up at an online betting site to bet on the 2019 French Open grand slam will also net you a generous welcome signup deposit bonus from our trusted betting sites.
There’s no doubting that PNC Park is one of the most beautiful baseball stadiums in the country. The Pirates have been asking the state for funds to maintain the stadium for the past five to seven years. Despite being a profitable business, it probably makes sense that the state pay for upkeep since the residents of Pennsylvania paid to build the stadium.

Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days!  She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
The ICC shares anti-corruption jurisdiction with national cricket federations, all of which have anti-corruption rules substantially identical to those of the ICC. The ICC has elaborate mechanisms for determining whether it or a national federation will take action under the relevant anti-corruption code. In general, the ICC has either exclusive or priority jurisdiction over international matches, while national federations have responsibility for actions relating only to domestic matches.
Somebody told me that sometimes bookies put wrong numbers on their site in order to deceive beginners and gamblers to put the money on those wrong numbers.( like putting 1.5 when the real odds must be 2). So a lot of normal people lose their money there. However, some pros find out these special cases and make some profit from the bookie. Since the money that the bookie is making from normal people and beginners is large, they don't care about the smaller amount that they are losing to pros.
These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.
On June 5, 2018, Delaware became the second state after Nevada to implement full-scale sports betting. Sports betting in the state is run by the Delaware Lottery and is available at the state's three casinos. Prior to 2018, the state offered limited sports betting consisting of parlay betting on NFL games. Delaware had been granted a partial exemption from the sports betting ban as it had made a failed attempt at legalized sports betting in 1976.[24][25][26]
That 60% betting record (with the odds of -110 that is traditional for against the spread bets in football) will leave you with a profit of $160. Think about it—your $600 profit from your 6 winning bets minus the $440 you lost on losing bets leaves $160. It took you $1,100 to win $160, meaning you have to bet $6.87 to win $1 on average. So you see the small differences between a 52.4% winning rate and a 60% winning rate—inside those 7.3 percentage points lies hundreds of dollars in profit.
All these competitions mean more to some teams than others, so before you start placing bets on Man City against a fifth division team in the FA Cup, be sure to check their lineup to see who is playing. For some teams, a FA Cup match may mean the world, but for a team like Man City who usually competes at the highest levels, it may hold much less significance.
Cricket has a massive fan base and there are games being played almost every day of the year so you can be sure that bookmakers pay special attention to this sport. Most of the world’s biggest names in online bookmaking ensure that they offer their customers as much cricket action as possible. The best cricket sportsbooks feature pre-match and in-play betting on any league game, international competition, or other major events. It is not uncommon for punters to have several dozen pre-game wagering options to choose from on any given match. Add in all the live betting choices, live streaming, and bonuses like the free bet at Betfred and you have yourself an awesome cricket betting experience.
Bookies don’t offer even money like friends in a casual betting situation. In the above example, with two evenly matched boxers, a smart bookie will offer 5/6 odds for each. That way, a $10 winning bet would only return $8.30 plus your stake. What does this do for the bookmaker? He can float an equal amount of money on both fighters, winning no matter which fighter actually wins. If they take $1,000 worth of bets on one boxer and $1,000 on the other, the bookie would take in $1,000 but only have to pay out $830, for a guaranteed $170 profit regardless of the outcome.
So you are probably wondering how many bets it is normal to lose. This depends greatly on what kind of events you are betting. If your bets are such that the average odds are under 2/1, you will naturally need to lose less than half of them in order to profit in the long run, but some very successful punters will often place bets on 10/1 or 20/1 outcomes and they expect to lose quite a few of these before finally winning one.
Those that want to bet on baseball throughout the year will be thrilled to know that the Australian Baseball League runs from November through February and it is available for betting at some online sportsbooks such as Betfair. You can also catch the live streaming ABL action and place in-play wagers at 888. That means that punters can get enough baseball bets almost all year round. Even better is the fact that so many bookies hit it out of the park with a large selection of baseball bonuses and promotions such as reduced juice and money back bets.
Oklahoma City visits Salt Lake City in a Western Conference event versus the Utah Jazz on Monday night. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Thunder have lost six of their past eight games to fall into a tie with the Blazers for the fourth seed in the West. Likewise the Jazz suffered a disappointing close to their week surrendering a double-digit fourth-quarter lead at altitude to a lame-duck Pelicans troupe, as well, losing to the Grizzlies in Memphis. NBA Preview and Free Pick: Thunder +4 vs. Jazz. 
That 60% betting record (with the odds of -110 that is traditional for against the spread bets in football) will leave you with a profit of $160. Think about it—your $600 profit from your 6 winning bets minus the $440 you lost on losing bets leaves $160. It took you $1,100 to win $160, meaning you have to bet $6.87 to win $1 on average. So you see the small differences between a 52.4% winning rate and a 60% winning rate—inside those 7.3 percentage points lies hundreds of dollars in profit.

Taken at face value, it sounds as if the AAF is primed to offer the fantasy equivalent of in-game prop betting. That model is currently being deployed with varying level of success by operators such as Boom Fantasy and Fanamana’s InGame Fantasy. However, as a proprietary offering of a professional sports league, it would seemingly qualify as a first.
This comes down to a matter of which kind of websites you are trying to use. Arizona laws don’t specifically outlaw online sports wagering which is why many people feel safe in using that method. However, there are no online options provided by sportsbooks within the state and if you tried to use one that is being operated in another state you risk breaking federal laws. This is why the only way to access legal Arizona sports betting is to use online offshore sports gambling sites. Their sportsbooks are regulated and operated in countries outside the US. This means that Arizona state laws and federal laws have no jurisdiction over them and why they are a safe option.
You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.
My picks have yielded a much higher risk adjusted return than the stock market. Obviously, the variance from season to season is formidable, but as anyone who had a significant amount invested in stocks or real estate in 2008 can tell you, such swings aren’t limited to sports. In the long run, my edge in what I do is far greater than the edge that you could hope to gain in any other speculative market.
DOC'S SPORTS is bringing in the same soccer handicapper that released plays in the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Euro Championship. Doc's showed a massive profit in the 2016 Euros, banking over +$5,000 in the one-month tournament while going 8-1 on top plays. They expect similar production at this summer's biggest sporting event and you don't want be left out of this winning.
Amidst all the close calls that are separating the top 2(or top-3, if you are a delusional Tottenham fan), Manchester City host Chelsea in the showcase game of the Premier League weekend. Between them, both these teams have won 8 out of the last 14 league titles and 4 of the last 5 to lay a claim to throne of being the most successful Premier League club of the post-Ferguson era.

For this reason, they can offer a larger deposit and reload bonuses. Taking advantage of bonuses is an absolute must for new bettors, where these extra funds are crucial for beginning bankrolls. Bettors can easily clear thousands of dollars in deposit bonuses at reputable sites in the US market. When you decide to don’t use any deposit bonus, you’re essentially deciding to leave money on the table.


The outlined sportsbook strategy also answers a frequent question, whether it is possible to be profitable in the long run or even make one's living by sports betting. It is certainly possible, however it places considerable demands too – on time, psychics and discipline as well. Information collection may be a full-time job, but it is also a hobby for many.
I want to remind you that if you want the strongest plays available, you are going to want to get signed-up for a premium or long-term subscription with one of our experts. Whether you are someone who likes a lot of action or wants to take a more selective approach, we are confident that we have an expert who can help you start crushing the books on a more consistent basis. 
As the statement points out, NCAA rules bar student-athletes or employees of the athletic departments of member schools from wagering on sports, a policy that won�t be changing anytime soon. But the new study will try to figure out what impact legalized betting will have on NCAA operations, and what the organization might be able to do in response.
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