**This is pretty long and covers your question and betting sports as a full-time endeavor. I bet year-round but don’t know if I would term myself a professional sports bettor and don’t have the bankroll to ever be a “shark” but I know the industry and the sports inside and out and put in considerable amounts towards each season. If you want to see what work goes into this and not just a numbers explanation (means nothing to someone who isn’t betting full-time and isn’t useful for someone who is because they already know) read it and let me know if you have any questions.**
He's coming off a huge game against Southampton, with two goals and two assists. But Sterling was very quiet in the first game against Shakhtar, finishing with just 5.7 points. He also failed to register a goal or assist in Manchester City's first two Champions League games, against Lyon and Hoffenheim. Silva is the safer play -- he'll probably have many more passes completed, and more chances created. And hopefully he'll pick up a goal and/or assist, too.
Obviously, sportsbooks are going to take more than two bets on any game, but this example is for simplicity’s sake. Looking at the total number of bets on different games over the course of a week and adjusting the moneyline and other numbers is another way the bookie makes a profit. Adjusting the odds a tiny percentage point in either direction will affect the balance of beats and make the book more likely to turn a profit no matter what.

Touts often claim to be able to hit 60% or higher, but as I explain in my essay on Bayesian Probability, anyone who tells you that their long term expected winning percentage is higher than 60% is deluding themselves. Ten or more years ago a sharp handicapper could win about 60% long term but those days are over, as odds makers have become more savvy in the past decade or so. For a bettor to claim a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage, that would be mean that Vegas would have to consistently release lines with egregious errors, and that simply just does not happen often enough nowadays for claims of a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage. Any short term win rates of around 60% or higher are simply due to blind, short-term luck. For instance, last year (2016) in the first season using a new NFL play-by-play model, Dr. Bob Sports’ NFL Best Bet sides were an incredible 66-26 (71.7%), but that record was enhanced by winning a very large percentage of close games (31-12 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or less) rather than splitting the close ones. It still would have been a great season on NFL Best Bet sides (62%) if the close games had been 50% but I still can’t expect the new model to win 60%-plus on sides based on that one season – although the play-by-play model back-tested at a very profitable 56% winners.


Punters that bet on American football look for bookmakers that provide the best odds and the most betting options. The best American football betting sites offer a staggering amount of betting options on each game and many of them have bonuses and promotions that are aimed directly at American football bettors. Enhanced accumulators, free bets, and money back specials are just a few types of wagering incentives that punters should take into consideration.
If you place two $100 bets, and you win, you’ll collect $440. You should consider leaving a tip around five percent of your winnings. Yes, that’s a $22 tip, but you just made a huge win, and surely you can spring for a twenty-spot for the guy who helped you win it. If you tip around the five percent mark regularly, when you win, you’re way more likely to get free drinks, which is about all you’re going to get comp-wise at the sportsbook.
One of our GEM members turned $1,500 into $20,000 in 2 years via ZCode System, which was not luck at all, but based on strict disciplined & strategy. He now earns average $3,000 / month from his betting bank, which pays all his daily expense including mortgage (I’m not sure if he quit his daily job). Strongly suggest take a look at ZCode Success Formula – Key Differences Between Winners & Losers, where you will find another model (very safe approach) of starting Value Betting at ZCode System.
Most bettors place lots of wagers because they think it will improve their chances of making money. We can see the logic in thinking this way, but the opposite is actually true. It’s the QUALITY of our wagers that improves our chances of making money, not the quantity of them. And the more wagers we place, the less likely we are to place good wagers.

I know that everyone wants to bet like they are Warren Buffet. But guys that have been successful in any “speculation market,” which is essentially what sports betting is, have done so through patience and savvy. I know it’s not “sexy” to say that you bet $112 on a game. People would much rather play for $500 to $1000 per game. But let’s leave sexy for the MTV crowd. To me being smart with your money and slowly growing your bank account is the best way to really make gambling part of your long-term enjoyment.

While the popularity of boxing has waned a bit in recent years it is still a very popular sport and punters place a lot of action on prime bouts. Naturally, the bookmakers are always ready for the flood of bets that inevitably come their way. You won’t find a bookmaker on the planet that doesn’t offer a variety of wagering options on boxing matches, so that your betting experience is as pleasant as possible.
Our super computer has one thing on its mind: Data. Since Italy Serie A is one of the most recognized national football (soccer) leagues on the planet, our computer-generated picks give you options on how you can cover the spread for every game and make decent bets. Before making your Lega Serie A picks, check out our Picks page to see that your money goes a long way. The last thing you need is to lose your hard-earned dollars making an uneducated bet on Udinese.
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