Let's get this out of the way up front - while the Round of 16 was a classic in terms of play on the field, it was far less classic for me from a betting perspective. It was a case of close but not close enough in most cases - and then I picked Spain, which didn't go well at all. Really, that has been the case for this entire World Cup - I've been mostly pointing in the right directions, but just not right enough to make a profit. But that changes now. We are going to destroy this quarterfinal round. It's fate. Or something. And we are going to be fearless about it and make a pick in each of the four games. Go big or go home. (All odds are from Bovada): Read More >>

So, at the end of the day, what could you call a “good” record for a sports bettor? Most casual gamblers looking into sports betting see a pro advertising his 1100-900 record and shake their head a little. How could such an abysmal record be something to be proud of? That’s a 55% winning percentage, and it indicates to those in the know that this bettor is actually turning a profit placing bets on sports.
All-everything guard Donovan Mitchell has seen an uptick in his production of late. But even Mitchell's 38 points on 12-of-24 shooting on Friday night wasn't enough for the team to overcome a 114-104 loss to Memphis. Coach Quin Synder and his player personnel are rarely successful unless they defend at a high level. And with the short bench the ability to do so has been an issue. Furthermore it will continue to be such in the latter part of the regular season.
Taken at face value, it sounds as if the AAF is primed to offer the fantasy equivalent of in-game prop betting. That model is currently being deployed with varying level of success by operators such as Boom Fantasy and Fanamana’s InGame Fantasy. However, as a proprietary offering of a professional sports league, it would seemingly qualify as a first.
While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and ‘quants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.
There are 2 types of people who bet sports. Recreational Punter who bet for fun as a hobby with the hope of winning. On the other hand, Non Casual Punter bet seriously for living or at least Not only for fun. I said people who can make a living sports betting is not many.  It’s supposed to be far less than 5% sports bettors who constantly win and they are called Sharp. We don’t know if such 5% successful sports bettors can really make ends meet with just sports betting but at least they don’t lose to the bookies. The rest 95% recreational punters surely loose in the long-run. How do professional gamblers make money in the first place? or What makes the difference between the 2 punters? Yes, “Character”.
Like every successful bettor, we’re looking for inefficiencies in betting markets which pop up regularly with the sheer volume of games being played day in day out. Niels, our model maker, first identifies value bets through his xG (expected goals model) then we move on to an in-depth look at some situational statistics plus team news. Once we feel confident that the odds are stacked in our favor, we pull the trigger
On the other hand, if there's a sport that you want to bet on but have no idea how to go about it, then buying a weekly package may work out for you. For instance, if you're looking to bet on the UFC but don't know enough about the fighters and the sport itself, a picks service will give you a detailed analysis on why their handicappers are picking one fighter over the other and why.
But we, as sports fans, know that the mathematics of a sporting event is much more complex. Sports bettors deeply involved in their hobby will subscribe to weather bulletins from major cities that take part in their sport, making huge wagering decisions based on a few mph of wind in one direction or another. Then there’s the unknown—does a player get hurt in the first quarter? Does weather become a factor? Is a particular player “in the zone?”
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
Finding that specialty is easier than it is with other sports as well. Being a relatively new area of sports betting, esports books are often only marginally better, if not worse, than the smart bettor at calculating the odds for events. Gaining this strategic edge gives you the power you need to find the most valuable bets among the sportsbooks who might have less of a grasp of the odds when it comes to esports.
Serena Williams is the sport’s most dominant player. Going into the 2018 Wimbledon championships, Williams had won seven Wimbledon ladies’ singles titles and 23 Grand Slam singles championships. Even though she took off time in 2017 to have a baby and then suffered an injury in the French Open, she still was the pre-tournament betting favorite at Wimbledon this year. The overall odds looked like this:

With professional teams in every major US sport, legal Arizona sports betting is surely happening all year round. From the Diamondbacks in the summer to the Cardinals in the winter, AZ residents are finding a way to cash in on their favorite team’s victories. The rest of the gambling scene is just as prevalent in the Grand Canyon state. Arizona is home to over 20 tribal casinos scattered throughout the state, each of which offers games like blackjack, poker, and slot machines.


While strikeouts per nine innings have increased in dramatic fashion the last half decade this trend will not continue. Expect less "swinging for the fences" with a focus on a higher percentage of contact by a hitter.  The theory of putting the ball in play and placing pressure on defenses has recently found success. The Kansas City Royals won the 2015 World Series with the philosophy.  Those same Royals stole bases and had a three headed monster in the bullpen.   
When Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund clash on Wednesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, this will mark the third meeting between the two clubs in the last three seasons. Tottenham did the double over Dortmund in the 2017 Champions' League group stage, while Dortmund got the jump on the Hotspurs in the 2016 Europa League quarterfinals. Read More >>
This all involves placing bets on a large number of games. This is the safest way to generate consistent money betting on sports. By spreading your risk over many games, you diversify your bankroll and investments. Your positive expectation can take over in the long run. Short term fluctuations won't make much difference. Your risk of ruin (chances of going broke) are minimal.
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.
Of course, there is a lot more to look for other than good odds and a lot of wagering opportunities when choosing the best sports to bet on. These days, it might be important to be able to place bets using mobile devices and SMS. Maybe you want to easily watch the live action and bet in-play on your favourite sport. Punters want choose a sports that helps them to maximize their earnings and mitigate their losses by receiving valuable bonuses and ongoing promotions. In other words, punters want everything that the best sportsbooks have to offer.
It's possible but rare. There are lots of opportunities that bookies miss but over time they usually adjust. For example Wong Teasers (teasing through both the 3 and 7 in NFL) were highly profitable for a while and now evidence shows they are less so, if at all, as the info becomes public and books adjust payouts and shade teaser lines to compensate. So there are "loopholes" to try and exploit.

It’s no surprise that the sports that receive the most attention from bettors also receive the most attention from the bookmakers. They have to give their customers what they want in order to keep them happy. And what the customers want is a good variety of betting options. This is why the bookmakers typically offer such an incredible range of different options on mainstream sports.
Transaction costs might shrink, Moskowitz says, if online betting volumes rise and bookmakers increasingly compete. A company dedicated to that proposition is London-listed Paddy Power Betfair (ticker: PPB.UK), whose websites, like Paddy Power and Betfair, processed over $15 billion in sports wagers in 2017. Since we are a stock market publication, we should note that at 8,435 pence ($111.59) a share, Paddy Power Betfair goes for over 20-times this year’s earnings estimate and 14-times cash flow. Revenue grew 13% in 2017, with about half of its revenue from online betting in Britain and Ireland, and about 20% from Australia and on-the-ground casinos. The U.S. is just 6% of revenue, but is growing fast.
It wasn’t that long ago that the popular and mainstream sports were all we could bet on. Finding a bookmaker willing to take wagers on the “minor” sports was nearly impossible. This is no longer the case though, as these days we can bet on virtually any sport that’s played professionally: even the most obscure ones. Although these don’t offer the same advantages that we’ve outlined above, one big advantage they have is that the bookmakers don’t give them the same level of attention.

Watching some of the fastest cars on the planet lap around a race course can make your head spin and so can the number of bookmakers that offer Formula One racing betting. When you want to bet on this exciting sport it is important to get the best prices, betting options and bonuses so that your victory laps will be that much sweeter when you win. Gamblingjudge.com is here to help you find the best Formula One betting site to suit your needs. It doesn’t matter if you are a small-time recreational gambler or big bettor; the right bookie is waiting for your F-1 action. There are lots of reputable bookmakers offering mobile betting, in-race betting, live streaming, and plenty of bonuses that are specifically designed for Formula One betting fanatics. Money back bets if your driver fails to finish the race, money back second place, and enhanced odds can be great advantages if F1 is your favourite sport to bet on.

Why don’t more people win at sports betting. Like any other endeavor, it takes time, patience and practice to become successful. A person of average intelligence can become a winning handicapper if they have the desire. Based on the odds of -110 for a straight football or basketball bet a handicapper only need to be right 52.38 percent of the time to break even. However, many sports bettors cannot achieve that percentage of winning over the long run.
What advantages has this betting form? Ideally long-term bets provide excitement over the course of the whole season. You can gain a big personal advantage, when reading statistics ahead of time and you are up-to-date regarding infos and news. An absolute plus are the every attractive - read high - odds of course, that you get in the field of long-term bets. We recommend an odds comparison, since the differences in odds can be quite big with certain bookmakers. A disadvantage is the long period of time, that the bet covers. This naturally resembles a certain factor of uncertainty. At competitions that spread over months, it's quite possible that athletes get hurt or get eliminated from the coompetition for other reasons. You should always be aware of that risk. Additionally long-term bets can soon become unintersting, if you failed to place the betting the tip before the start of the season. If a certain football team is clearly in the lead after 15 rounds for example, it doesn't make much sense anymore to place a championship bet anymore due to the low odds. On the other hand you could also say: Ok - looks like a safe win - i accept the low odds! If you want to make fast money, long-term bets are obviously not ideal. Your stakes are bound to then bet until the competition is over. So you better think twice, whether you really want to bet a lot of money or rather just put down a smaller amount.
The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.

In 2012, despite federal law preventions, the state legislature of New Jersey and Governor Chris Christie signed a law that would allow sports betting to take place in New Jersey race tracks and Atlantic City casinos.[15] In August 2012, Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind conducted a study on the issue. Voters were asked whether New Jersey should allow sports betting even if federal law prevents it from doing so, or wait to allow sports betting until federal law permits it. Results showed that nearly half (45%) of voters wanted to allow sports betting, while (38%) decided to wait and allow sports betting once Congress allows it. Krista Jenkins, director of the poll, commented, "Although support is not overwhelming, these numbers suggest the public is cautiously behind the goal of moving forward with legalized sports betting."[16]
The first advantage here is a significant one. If you devote all your time to one single sport, it’s entirely possible that you can become a genuine expert. This will greatly improve your chances of beating the bookmakers. Remember, they have experts working for them. You really need to match the knowledge of their experts to be able to win money consistently. If you can actually learn MORE than them, then you’ll be in a good position to beat them.
Here you will find sports analysis, picks and information. Also you can get more details on how to join our VIP Membership. There are currently 2 Packages available for the correspondent up and running Sports and Leagues. MLB and International Sports are the two packages available at very affordable prices. If you have any questions feel free to contact LordSports! The goal is to deliver real winners day in and day out based on hard work and dedication. Doesn’t matter the sport, league or package! We cover all major US sports, International Leagues and have packages available at bargain prices!

It’s no surprise that the sports that receive the most attention from bettors also receive the most attention from the bookmakers. They have to give their customers what they want in order to keep them happy. And what the customers want is a good variety of betting options. This is why the bookmakers typically offer such an incredible range of different options on mainstream sports.

Levante are the feel good story in Europe, and there’s no good reason to stop believing at this point. AccuScore calculates value on both the draw and a Levante win, so a split pick is the correct play on this one. Regardless of whether Levante win or draw, the pick would be profitable. The trends aren’t with this pick, but Levante has surprised us all this season. If Levante lose, however, Barcelona and Real Madrid will likely return to the top and Levante will be the forgotten story of the season.
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